Category: Topic

For the 8 Indicators/Topics pages only

  • Health Care Access

    Health Care Access

    Health Care Access

    Too few Houston-area residents are able to access affordable, high-quality health care consistently, contributing to poor health outcomes for a significant portion of our neighbors

    Uninsured rates in the three-county Houston region have declined since 2010 but have stagnated in recent years. Additionally, Texas has had the highest rate of uninsured residents among all states since 2010, and Harris County’s uninsured rate is higher than Texas’. While primary care physician availability hasn’t increased meaningfully there has been a significant decline in the rate of preventable hospitalizations.

    Why access to health care matters to Houston

    The ability and ease with which we can access high-quality, affordable, and convenient health care is integral to physical, mental, and social well-being. Health care access is a broad term that typically includes four main elements: coverage, services, timeliness, and workforce, according to the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ). Coverage refers to the number of people with health insurance. Why is access so important in health care? People without health insurance, or quality insurance, receive less medical care and less timely care, and have worse health outcomes than those with medical insurance.1 Access to healthcare also includes having a usual place of care and provider, including culturally competent care; and receiving that care at the appropriate time, such as annual screenings and check-ups and monitoring and treating chronic diseases. Finally, access includes the sufficient presence and availability of providers in close proximity, as transportation can be a barrier, particularly among more rural communities.2 Improving access to health care is one important aspect of addressing the non-medical drivers of health and reducing health disparities across race/ethnicity, income groups, and rural-urban areas.

    The more we understand the challenges our neighbors face in accessing health care within the Greater Houston health care system, the more we can work to increase access and improve health outcomes in our region.

    The data

    Uninsured rates have decreased since 2010 but mostly remain unchanged since 2016

    When the Affordable Care Act (ACA) was passed in 2010, its goal was to expand health insurance coverage by making it more affordable to more people. Many aspects of the program were implemented in 2014, including the establishment of health insurance marketplaces and the optional expansion of Medicaid eligibility.

    Across the country, Texas, and in each of Houston’s three counties there were immediate gains in health insurance coverage, as the percentage of people without health insurance fell between 3–4 percentage points from 2013 to 2014—the largest year-over-year decrease in uninsurance rates seen in the last twelve years.  The uninsured rate across the U.S. was halved to 8% in 2023 from 16% in 2010.

    Texas has had the highest percentage of residents without health insurance among all states in the U.S. each year since at least 2010. In 2023, 16% of Texans didn’t have health insurance, double the U.S rate for that year. Not only is the uninsured rate in Texas eight points above the national rate, it is also five points above Georgia, the state with the second highest uninsured rate in the U.S.

    Texas has had the highest percentage of residents without health insurance among all states in the U.S. each year since at least 2010.

    Texas is one of 10 states that has not expanded Medicaid to cover additional low-income residents. Currently, legal residents of Texas can qualify for Medicaid if they are pregnant, responsible for a minor, have some kind of disability or a household member with a disability, or are older than 65 with low incomes. In Texas, if you or your household does not meet one of these conditions you are not eligible for Medicaid no matter how low your income is.

    For those who do meet one of the previously mentioned criteria to be considered for Medicaid, the income threshold to be eligible changes depending on your, and your household’s circumstance. As an example, for a three-person household with one parent and two children, monthly household income must not exceed $230 for the parent to be eligible for Medicaid coverage. It is estimated that over 1.1 million more Texas residents would be covered if Medicaid was expanded. In 2025, an estimated 570,000 adult Texans were in what is known as “the coverage gap.” The coverage gap is experienced by people with incomes below the poverty level who are not eligible for financial assistance in the ACA marketplace.

    The percentage of residents without health insurance in Houston’s three-county region has declined since 2010, however, it remains well above the national average. Residents in Fort Bend County have historically had the lowest uninsured rates in the region, though figures have ticked up after 2016 and have fluctuated since then. At its lowest in 2014, Fort Bend County’s uninsured rate was the same as the nation overall. As of 2023, Fort Bend County’s uninsured rate (12%) is 4 points higher than the U.S. overall (8%). Montgomery County’s uninsured rate was 16% in 2023, the same as Texas. Harris County has consistently had the highest rate of uninsured residents in the three-county region and in Texas overall. As of 2023, 20% of residents in Harris County do not have health insurance­—two and a half times the rate of uninsured residents across the country.

    1 in 5 Harris County residents do not have health insurance. Two and a half times the rate of the nation.

    The majority of the area’s residents are enrolled in private health insurance (61%), mostly through employer-based health insurance. An additional 28% have public health coverage through programs such as Medicare and Medicaid. Between 2010 and 2023, the Houston region made substantial progress in reducing the number of uninsured residents, with the rate decreasing by 7 percentage points. This improvement matched the gains seen both nationwide and across Texas during the same period. However, the types of insurance coverage grew at different rates. Nationally, public health insurance access increased by 7 percentage points between 2010 and 2023, compared to just 4 points in the Houston region. Meanwhile, private health insurance rates across the U.S. increased by only 1 percentage point. As of 2023, 37% of the U.S. population had public health insurance compared to 29% across Texas and in Harris County, 26% in Montgomery County, and 21% in Fort Bend County.

    Uninsured Rate for Nonelderly Residents

    Another important measure of health care coverage is the uninsured rate for the nonelderly population — defined as residents younger than 65 years old who are not eligible for Medicare. As of 2023, over 1.17 million individuals under 65 in the Houston region were uninsured, with Harris County alone being home to nearly 1 million.

    Nearly 1.2 million residents under 65 in the Houston region were uninsured in 2023.

    Overall, the trends over time of uninsurance rates for people younger than 65 almost identically mirror that for the entire population. The uninsured rate for this population dropped in each county during the last decade — peaking in 2010 and reaching the lowest levels in 2015 and 2016. However, despite this progress, non-elderly uninsured rates in the region remain consistently higher than the U.S. average. The non-elderly population is, on average, 2 percentage points more likely to be uninsured than the population overall, likely due to people 65 and older generally being eligible for health insurance through Medicare. Texas’ non-elderly (under 65) uninsured rate is nearly two times the nation’s rate while Harris County’s is more than double.

    To learn about uninsured rates specifically for children, visit our Maternal and Child Health page.

    Uninsured Rate for Nonelderly Adult Residents by Race/Ethnicity

    Most people who remain uninsured are non-elderly adults aged 19-64. In 2023, the uninsured rate among non-elderly adults was 24% across the three-county area.

    In 2023, the uninsured rate among Houston-area adults aged 19–64 was 24%.

    Uninsured rates vary among racial/ethnic groups within Greater Houston’s diverse population. The uninsured rate among Hispanics aged 19 to 64 in the three-county area (39%) is nearly four times that of whites (11%). Black adults also experience elevated uninsured rates at 20%. When compared to state averages, three of the four largest racial/ethnic groups in the Houston three-county region have higher uninsured rates than Texas overall. White adults (aged 19 to 64) are the only group in the three-county region with lower uninsured rates than the state average, though this advantage disappears in Montgomery County where 14% of white adults lack insurance compared to 13% statewide. Across all three counties, every major racial/ethnic group has higher uninsured rates than their counterparts nationally, highlighting the region’s persistent coverage challenges across demographics.

    In the Houston region, Asian American and Hispanic adults saw the largest decrease in uninsured rates between 2010 and 2023, dropping by about 15 percentage points. In 2010, 28% of Asian Americans in the Houston region lacked health insurance—that fell to 12% in 2023. For Hispanic adults in 2010, 54% in the Houston region did not have uninsurance. As of 2023, that population’s uninsurance rate was 39%—still the highest in the region but an improvement from 2010.

    The Kaiser Family Foundation identified several reasons why insurance coverage gaps differ and persist across race/ethnicity. For instance, people of color are more likely to live in low-income families that do not have coverage offered by an employer or to have difficulty affording private coverage when it is available. Additionally, uninsured nonelderly Hispanic and Asian people are more likely to be ineligible for coverage because of immigration status, reflecting higher shares of noncitizens among these groups.3

    Primary care physician availability in the Houston region has improved slightly over the last decade

    What factors affect access to health care? Sufficient availability of primary care physicians is crucial for preventative and primary care. Primary care physicians (PCPs) serve as the first point of contact with the health care system for many patients; thus, they are more likely to be the first to screen major health-related conditions, detect early signs of disease, and address health concerns at an early stage. Adults in the U.S. who have a primary care provider are more likely to report significantly better health care access and experience,4 and increasing the rate of PCPs in a region can increase life expectancy and reduce cardiovascular diseases and cancer. People with PCPs also have 19% lower odds of premature death than those who only see specialists for care.

    Additionally, primary care also reduces overall costs. People with access to PCPs are less likely to use an emergency room for care. It is estimated that the U.S. could potentially save $67 billion a year if everyone saw a PCP first rather than a specialist.5 Access to providers can be measured by the ratio of the total population to the number of primary care physicians. This represents the number of residents potentially served by a registered primary care physician within a specific geography.

    Although availability to primary care providers (PCPs) has improved slightly in Texas, the gap between the state rate (1,660:1) and the national rate (1,330:1) persists. In Houston’s three-county area, there were 3,891 registered primary care physicians in 2021. On average, for every 1,603 residents, there was one physician. The ratio of residents to PCPs ranges from 1,717:1 in Harris County to 1,181:1 in Fort Bend County, indicating residents in Fort Bend County generally have more access to PCPs than the other two counties. Access to primary care physicians in Fort Bend County has improved steadily since 2010, passing both the state and national rates. Montgomery County’s residents-to-PCP ratio decreased from 1,680:1 in 2020 to 1,583:1 in 2022.

    Read about challenges and availability of mental health care in the Houston area.

    Preventable hospital stays in the Houston region have declined

    Reducing preventable hospitalizations is critical for increasing quality of care and controlling health care costs. Medical conditions such as asthma and diabetes are considered ambulatory care sensitive conditions (ACSC). Generally, these conditions can be treated in outpatient settings by primary or preventative health care providers, which reduces the need for emergency room visits or inpatient hospitalization.

    Data show that the majority of preventable hospital stays occur in patients aged 65 and older. Preventable hospital stays are measured by the number of hospital stays for ACSC per 100,000 Medicare enrollees in a given time period. High hospitalization rates for ACSC suggest a tendency of overusing emergency rooms and urgent care as a main source of care. It also places financial burdens on patients, insurance providers, and hospitals as well.

    In 2022, the preventable hospitalization rate in Montgomery County was the highest among the three counties and higher than the state. However, the incidence rate of these stays has declined in each Houston-area county, Texas overall, and nationally since 2016, with declines of41% in Fort Bend, 38% in Harris, 36% in Montgomery, 40% in Texas, and 41% in the U.S. overall.

    Preventable hospitalization rates also vary by racial/ethnic groups, with Black residents having a much higher rate compared to Hispanic and white residents.

    The number of ACSC hospital stays among Black adults in Harris County was 5,272 per 100,000 Medicare enrollees in 2022 compared to 3,067 per 100,000 Medicare enrollees for Hispanic adults in Harris County, 2,582 for white adults, and 1,865 for Asian American adults. While gaps between racial/ethnic groups have narrowed over time, they still persist.  In Montgomery County in 2016, white adults had a higher preventable hospitalization rate compared to Hispanic adults. By 2023, the preventable hospitalization rate for Hispanic adults surpassed that for white adults.

    This is not a new trend. Since 1998, racial and ethnic disparities in hospitalizations from chronic ACSCs have increased, resulting in over 430,000 excess hospitalizations among non-Hispanic Blacks compared to non-Hispanic whites.6 According to one study, Black adults had significantly higher rates of ACSC hospitalizations than white adults, even after controlling for demographic, socioeconomic, and geographic factors.7 There is no biological reason for race or ethnicity to predict preventable hospitalizations. Reasons for these persistent disparities include, but are not limited to, health care providers’ attitudes and internalized biases, disease stereotyping and clinical nomenclature, and clinical algorithms, tools, and treatment guidelines.

    More Helpful Articles by Understanding Houston:

    Resources

    References:

    1. Bovbjerg, R., & Hadley, J. (2007). Why health insurance is important. Health Policy Briefs. The Urban Institute. Washington, DC.
    2. Syed, S. T., Gerber, B. S., & Sharp, L. K. (2013). Traveling towards disease: transportation barriers to health care access. Journal of Community Health, 38(5), 976-993.
    3. Artiga, S., Hill, L., Orgera, K., & Damico, A. (2021). Health coverage by race and ethnicity, 2010–2019. Kaiser Family Foundation. https://www.kff.org/racial-equity-and-health-policy/issue-brief/health-coverage-by-race-and-ethnicity/
    4. Levine, D. M., Landon, B. E., & Linder, J. A. (2019). Quality and Experience of Outpatient Care in the United States for Adults With or Without Primary Care. JAMA Internal Medicine, 179(3), 363–372. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamainternmed.2018.6716
    5. Spann Stephen J. (2004) “Report on Financing the New Model of Family Medicine.” The Annals of Family Medicine, 2 (suppl 3): S1-S21. https://www.annfammed.org/content/annalsfm/2/suppl_3/S1.full.pdf
    6. Doshi, R. P., Aseltine, R. H., Jr, Sabina, A. B., & Graham, G. N. (2017). Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Preventable Hospitalizations for Chronic Disease: Prevalence and Risk Factors. Journal of Racial and Ethnic Health Disparities, 4(6), 1100–1106. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40615-016-0315-z
    7. O’Neil, S. S., Lake, T., Merrill, A., Wilson, A., Mann, D. A., & Bartnyska, L. M. (2010). Racial disparities in hospitalizations for ambulatory care-sensitive conditions. American Journal of Preventive Medicine, 38(4), 381–388. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amepre.2009.12.026
  • Health

    Health

    Understanding Health in Houston

    The physical and mental health and well-being of all Houstonians is essential to a thriving region.

    In addition to genetics, our physical and mental health status is shaped by our environment, ability to access affordable high-quality health care, and ease/depth of access to critical resources, like parks, fresh food and supportive social networks. These social determinants, including our occupation, income and education level, are responsible for up to half of our health outcomes.

    Because these social determinants are so important to our physical and mental health, they are also responsible for explaining why some of us are healthier than others — the largest health disparities are found across neighborhoods and racial lines. This is because the practices and policies related to residential segregation — a common historical practice — led to a reduction in public and private development, investments, and employment opportunities in predominantly Black and Brown communities. This disinvestment laid the groundwork for active harm — allowing polluting industries to operate without enforcing regulations — and greatly limited residents’ opportunities for better health and well-being. More Houstonians have become sedentary, food insecure, unwell, obese and diabetic in recent years, with people of color disproportionately burdened by health challenges. These outcomes ultimately lead to a decline in quality of life and contribute to the most common causes of death.

    The more we understand gaps in physical and mental health care access and outcomes in the Houston region we can make investments to eliminate health disparities and improve outcomes for all residents.

  • Funding, Enrollment & Teachers

    Funding, Enrollment & Teachers

    Funding, Enrollment & Teachers

    A thriving public school system requires sufficient funding, robust student enrollment, and effective teachers

    Student enrollment increased in Fort Bend and Montgomery counties although their per pupil spending continues to lag the state. Teachers across Texas and the Houston three-county region continue to grow more diverse, but teacher turnover rates remain elevated in Harris County. The average base pay for teachers in the Houston region is higher than the state, but public Texas school teacher salaries continue to lag the national average.

    Why school funding, enrollment, and teachers matter to Houston

    Public schools need students, teachers and funding. School funding formulas, notoriously complex, determine how much Houston-area schools can spend on essentials like textbooks, staff, computers and even facility maintenance. Research has shown high school graduation rates increase by about seven percentage points for all students — and roughly 10 percentage points for students from low-income families — for every 10% increase in per-pupil spending.1 An analysis of funding gaps in Texas school districts, the difference between funding a district needs versus what the district receives, found that districts with funding gaps exceeding 40% are strongly associated with a Texas Education Agency student achievement rating of C or lower.

    Teachers, of course, are essential to student learning.2 When students are educated by teachers who are supported, well-compensated and experienced, they have better academic outcomes that persist over time, are more likely to succeed in future academic work, are more likely to graduate from high school,3 and are more likely to enroll in higher education.4

    When schools, students, and teachers are equipped with the resources they need in order to thrive, the foundation of the entire public school system is strengthened, and consequently, so is the future of our region.

    The data

    Per pupil spending in Houston’s three-county area lags that of the state

    How does school funding affect students? Funding is critical for student success. Research has shown high school graduation rates increase by about seven percentage points for all students — and roughly 10 percentage points for students from low-income families — for every 10% increase in per-pupil spending.5

    In 2024, the U.S. spent $17,619 per pupil (costs associated with instruction, student support services, and payroll for public pre-K-12 schools), according to the Census’ Annual Survey of School System Finances.

    Where does Texas rank in school funding per child? According to the Census Bureau, average per pupil spending in Texas ($12,895) is well below the national average.6 Among all 50 states and District of Columbia, Texas ranks 43rd on this measure (compared to its rank as 44th in 2019).

    Texas ranks 43rd in average per pupil spending

    Furthermore, a 2024 analysis conducted by Houston Education Research Consortium found that 73% of Texas school districts were underfunded during the 2020-21 school year and that a statistically significant relationship exists between district funding gaps and student achievement with districts that have larger funding gaps generally having lower student achievement.

    Total Operating Expenditures per Pupil measures the total operating expenditures, divided by the number of students. This measure excludes debt service, construction expenditures, and other capital outlays. It is a key metric as it reflects the level of resources available to support each student’s education.

    Total operating expenditures per student7 in Texas has remained relatively flat since 2008–09 despite some fluctuation. Operating expenditures per student in Texas was $12,951 in 2024–25 compared to $12,865 in 2008–09 in 2025 inflation-adjusted dollars, according to the Texas Education Agency (TEA). That’s an increase of about $700 or 5%.

    In Greater Houston public schools, Harris County’s per pupil spending has historically been around or slightly below Texas’s while Montgomery County has consistently had the lowest spending per pupil in the three-county Houston region. In the 2024–25 school year, public schools spent $13,058 per pupil in Harris County, $11,560 in Fort Bend County, and $11,245 in Montgomery County. Notably, Fort Bend County’s per pupil spending decreased by 7% points in one year between 2021-22 and 2022-23 and has yet to rebound.

    Student enrollment grows in Fort Bend and Montgomery counties but falls in Harris County

    Enrollment refers to the number of students enrolled in public schools (including charters) from early childhood education (pre-K) through 12th grade as of the last Friday in October.

    Enrollment in Texas public schools reached nearly 5.5 million students in the 2025–26 school year, an increase of 5% since 2014–15. Since the 1987-88 school year, when the Texas Education Agency began collecting data in its current system, public school enrollment in Texas has declined only twice: a 2% dip between 2019–20 and 2020–21, an effect of the COVID-19 pandemic, and again most recently by 1.4% between 2024–25 and 2025–26.

    Across the three-county area, 1.1 million students were enrolled in public schools for the 2025–26 academic year, representing a 2% increase from 2014–15. During this period, enrollment in Harris County declined by 4%, but Fort Bend and Montgomery counties saw significant growth increasing by 25% and 32%, respectively. Enrollment in Fort Bend and Montgomery counties has surpassed pre-pandemic levels but have yet to recover in Harris County where enrollment is still down 6% since 2019–20.

    Student enrollment in the region’s suburban counties had double-digit increases between 2014–15 and 2025–26.

    Enrollment by Race/Ethnicity

    Public schools in Texas and in Houston’s three-county region serve a diverse population of students — the majority of whom identify as nonwhite, consistent with the racial/ethnic composition of Greater Houston’s population.

    In the 2025–26 school year in Texas, Hispanic students comprised a majority of enrolled students (53%), followed by white (24%), Black (13%), Asian American (6%), and multiracial (3%) students. Among the three local counties, Montgomery has the highest percentage of students who are white (40%), Fort Bend has the highest share of Asian American students (21%), and Harris County has the largest proportion of Hispanic students (56%) making up over half the student population. This reflects the demographic composition of these counties.

    Between the 2019–20 and 2025–26 school years, the racial/ethnic composition of students did not change much across the Houston three-county region or Texas with the exception of Montgomery County where the percentage of white students decreased by nine points.

    Enrollment by Socioeconomic Status

    School districts are required to collect and report the socioeconomic status of each student to the Texas Education Agency for purposes of the annual state accountability ratings and for federal reporting. A student who is eligible for free or reduced-price lunch or for other public assistance is classified as “economically disadvantaged.”

    In 2025–26, the majority (60%) of students enrolled in Texas public schools were classified as economically disadvantaged. While the share of economically disadvantaged students has grown over the last decade throughout the three-county area, it remains highest in Harris County at 67%. Harris County’s percentage of economically disadvantaged students is higher than the state (60%), Montgomery County (49%), and Fort Bend County (47%). However, the percentage of economically disadvantaged students has increased slightly faster in Fort Bend (8 points) and Montgomery (8 points) counties compared to Harris County (4 points) since 2014–15. More recently, we saw the share of economically disadvantaged students tick down across the region and state in 2024–25 and remain flat in 2025–26.

    The majority (60%) of students enrolled in Texas public schools were classified as economically disadvantaged

    Enrollment of Emergent Bilingual Students

    Students whose primary language at home is not English and who are not yet proficient in English are classified as emergent bilingual (EB). EBs are a diverse group of students with varying levels of English proficiency. Students classified as EBs are eligible to participate in language assistance programs that help them attain English proficiency and support core academic programs such as English as a second language, dual language, or bilingual programs. Research has shown that participation in enhanced language programs not only helps to improve students’ English language skills, but also helps to improve educational outcomes.8

    The proportion of students classified as EB has grown in our region and across the state since 2014–15. As of the 2025–26 school year, 21% of students in Fort Bend County are classified as EB, 31% in Harris County, 21% in Montgomery County, and 24% across Texas.

    The number of emergent bilingual students continues to grow in our region – increasing by 31% between 2014–15 and 2025–26.

    Texas replaced the term “English learner” (EL) with emergent bilingual (EB) to emphasize bilingualism as a strength, reflecting  research on the cognitive benefits of learning multiple languages. However, the timing of reclassification to English proficient significantly affects student outcomes. Students who reclassify as English proficient in elementary school typically outperform their peers, including those who were never classified as EB. In contrast, students who remain classified as EB through middle or high school face greater academic challenges.

    A report from Rice University’s Kinder Institute for Urban Research found a growing share of EB students are not reclassified by the time they enter middle school. Among students who began first grade in 2011–12, nearly half had not been reclassified by the time they began middle school in 2016–17. That rate grew to over 80% for students who started first grade in 2018–19 and entered middle school in 2023–24. This report points to a key change made in 2018 to the Texas English Language Proficiency Assessment—the test for students to be classified as English proficient—particularly the shift from an in-person, teacher-administered exam to an online assessment. In 2017, the year prior to the changes, more than half of students passed the oral portion but that dropped to just 7.6% in 2018.

    Enrollment in Special Education

    The Individuals with Disabilities Education Act (IDEA) ensures all eligible children with disabilities receive a free appropriate public education. However, students with disabilities in Texas had not been receiving the services, therapies, and education they require because of a 2004 policy set by the Texas Education Agency (TEA) that capped the percentage of students who could receive special education services at 8.5%, denying thousands of students the support they needed. After a 2016 Houston Chronicle investigation, the cap was banned in 2017. Then in 2018, the U.S. Department of Education found Texas had violated federal law by setting this cap and ordered Texas to create a plan to correct the problem.

    Despite this, a 2021 follow-up revealed that the TEA had failed to implement the necessary changes to comply with IDEA. As of 2023, the U.S. Department of Education announced that the Texas Education Agency had fulfilled its obligations as outlined in the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act. To ensure continued compliance, the Texas Education Agency conducts annual compliance reviews of local education agencies.

    Recent data from the Texas Education Agency show the percentage of students served in special education programs has increased significantly, nearly doubling, since the Houston Chronicle investigation came out in 2016. In 2025–26, the percentage of students enrolled in special education programs was 16% in Fort Bend, 15% in Harris, and 17% in Montgomery counties. While more current data is not yet available, in 2022–23 the national rate was 15%, according to the 2023 Digest of Education Statistics.

    Between 2014–15 and 2025–26, the percentage of students in special education programs more than doubled in Fort Bend and Montgomery counties and increased by 7 percentage points in Harris County and 8 points statewide.

    Teacher turnover in Harris County remains elevated

    Research has established that teachers are the No. 1 predictor of student success inside the classroom.9 They are critical and foundational to delivering a high-quality education. Students who have consistent access to excellent teachers have better academic outcomes, are more likely to succeed in future academic work, are more likely to graduate from high school,10 and are more likely to enroll in higher education.11

    Teacher Experience

    Similar to professionals in other occupations, as teachers gain experience, they become more effective. As teachers have time to develop and master their craft, their students show academic gains. These gains are more pronounced in the first decade of teaching, but extend through the second and third decade as well, and their students also have better attendance and score higher on standardized tests (one measure of learning).12

    Nationally, American teachers had an average of 14.5 years of teaching experience in 2020–21 (most recent data available), well below the 11.2-year average among teachers in Texas for the same year, which suggests teachers in Texas are more likely to leave their profession earlier.

    Across the state, average teacher experience did not increase much between 2018–19 (11.1 years) and 2024–25 (11.2 years). Average teacher experience in Harris County tends to be lower than in the suburban counties and the state average.

    Across all three counties and the state, the percentage of teachers with five or fewer years of experience fell in Fort Bend and Montgomery counties and rose in Harris County between 2018–19 and 2024–25. More than a third of teachers (36 %) statewide have five or fewer years of experience, with similar percentages across the three-county area. Among Houston’s three-county region, students in Harris County are more likely to be educated by new teachers than those in Fort Bend or Montgomery counties.

    Research also shows that Black and Latino students are most likely to be in classrooms with teachers who are in their first year of teaching or their first five years of teaching (known as “novice teachers”). The Education Trust found that about 34% of Black students and 17% of Latino13 students in Texas attended schools with high percentages (i.e., greater than or equal to 20%) of novice teachers.

    Black and Latino students in Texas are more likely than white students to attend schools with high percentages of novice teachers.

    Teacher Demographics

    Looking at teacher demographics is important because being taught by a diverse teacher workforce has benefits for all students, not just those of color, but the benefits tend to be more pronounced for students of color. Students who are taught by a diverse workforce show better academic outcomes, lower suspension rates, and higher graduation rates.14

    Students who are taught by a diverse workforce show better academic outcomes, lower suspension rates, and higher graduation rates.

    Compared to the racial/ethnic makeup of the student body, the teacher workforce in the Texas public school system is far less diverse. While the majority of teachers in Texas are white (52%), diversity is increasing. Between the 2012–13 and the 2024–25 school years, the percentage of white teachers declined from 63% to 52%, while the share of Hispanic teachers increased by 6 percentage points to 31%, and the share of Black teachers increased more than three points to 13%. The proportion of teachers in Texas who are Black is proportionate to the proportion of students who identify as Black. However, the proportion of white teachers (52%) is double the proportion of white students (24%), and the proportion of Hispanic teachers (31%) is much lower than the proportion of Hispanic students (53%).

    Mirroring larger trends in Greater Houston’s diversity, the teacher workforce in Fort Bend and Harris counties is much more diverse than in Montgomery County and the state overall. In 2024–25, Harris County, the composition of the teacher workforce was 40% white, 28% Hispanic, and 26% Black. In Fort Bend County, during the 2024–25 school year, 42% of teachers were white, 29% were Black, and 19% Hispanic. In Montgomery County, 72% of teachers were white although this rate has decreased by 13 points since 2012–13. Throughout the three-county area, the percentage of Black teachers is almost double the of the state.

    Teacher Turnover

    In order for teachers to gain the experience essential to improving their effectiveness, they need support to remain in the profession. Over the past few years, teacher shortages have been a growing concern as educators leave the profession.15  Nationally every school year, 1 in 7 public school teachers turnover, meaning they move schools or leave the profession, and attrition rates in urban-area and high-poverty schools are higher than average,16 and. Teacher turnover rates can provide an indication of the challenges school districts face to replace teachers who may have left the profession or gone to another school district or private schools.

    Teacher turnover rates tend to be higher in Harris County compared to the suburban counties. In 2024–25, 21% of teachers in Harris County turned over compared to 17% in Fort Bend and Montgomery counties and 19% statewide. The teacher turnover rate in Houston’s three-county region and in Texas overall improved between 2018–19 and 2020–21. Turnover rates in Houston’s three-county region and statewide peaked to at least 20% in 2022–23 before declining by 2024–25, except in Harris County where they remained elevated.

    The Texas Education Agency determines minimum salary schedules for public school teachers statewide. For the 2025–26 school year, the minimum salaries for teachers across Texas ranged from $33,960 for first-time teachers to $55,030 for teachers with 20 or more years of experience. After factoring in education and experience, Texas public school teachers earned 23% less in weekly wages than similar college graduates in 2024 — better than the national average of 27%.

    Controlling for inflation, it is estimated that the average Texas public school teacher salary decreased by 6% between 2018–19 and 2024–25. In 2024–25 the average salary of a public school teacher was $63,749 in Texas, which is about 17% lower than the national average of $76,455.

    The average base salary for teachers in Fort Bend and Harris counties is about 6% higher than the state average. Fort Bend and Harris counties offered the region’s highest average annual base pay during the 2025–26 school year at $72,017 and $71,945, respectively. Average base pay for teachers in Montgomery County is slightly lower at $69,349.

    Continue reading about education in Houston on our educational attainment, academic outcomes and post-secondary education pages

    Helpful Articles by Understanding Houston:

    Resources

    References:

    1. C. Kirabo Jackson & Rucker C. Johnson & Claudia Persico. (2015). “The Effects of School Spending on Educational and Economic Outcomes: Evidence from School Finance Reforms,” NBER Working Papers 20847, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.https://ideas.repec.org/p/nbr/nberwo/20847.html
    2. Chetty, Raj, John N. Friedman, and Jonah E. Rockoff, (May 2014). “Measuring the Impacts of Teachers II: Teacher Value-Added and Student Outcomes in Adulthood,” American Economic Review, 104(9) 2633–2679.
    3. Jackson, C. Kirabo. (October 2018) “What Do Test Scores Miss? The Importance of Teacher Effects on Non–Test Score Outcomes.” Journal of Political Economy, 126(5), 2072–2107. https://doi.org/10.1086/699018
    4. Chetty, Raj, John N. Friedman, and Jonah E. Rockoff, (May 2014).
    5. C. Kirabo Jackson & Rucker C. Johnson & Claudia Persico. (2015).
    6. This is true even after factoring in cost of living differences. Generally speaking, the cost of living in Texas is about 92% to 95% of the national average. Essentially, when student funding in Texas is increased by 5-8%, the result is still below the national average of $13,187.
    7. This includes all expenditures made for the operations of the school district. Expenditures for debt service and capital outlay are excluded.
    8. Genesee, Fred, Kathryn Lindholm-Leary, William Saunders, and Donna Christian. (2005) “English language learners in US schools: An overview of research findings.” Journal of Education for Students Placed at Risk, 10( 4), 363-385.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1207/s15327671espr1004_2
    9. Chetty, Raj, John N. Friedman, and Jonah E. Rockoff, (May 2014).
    10. Jackson, C. Kirabo. (October 2018).
    11. Chetty, Raj, John N. Friedman, and Jonah E. Rockoff, (May 2014).
    12. Kini, T., & Podolsky, A. (2016) Does Teaching Experience Increase Teacher Effectiveness? A Review of the Research. Palo Alto: Learning Policy Institute.). Retrieved from https://learningpolicyinstitute.org/our-work/publications-resources/does-teaching-experience-increase-teacher-effectiveness-review-research
    13. The Education Trust (2022). Educator Diversity State Profile: Texas. Retrieved from https://edtrust.org/rti/educator-diversity-state-profile-texas/
    14. Forthcoming Handbook of Research on Teachers of Color and Indigenous Teachers. Retrieved from https://uh.edu/education/research-convening/
    15. Sutcher, Leib, Linda Darling-Hammond, and Desiree Carver-Thomas. (2016) “A Coming Crisis in Teaching? Teacher Supply, Demand, and Shortages in the US.” Learning Policy Institute, pp. 499-534. https://learningpolicyinstitute.org/sites/default/files/product-files/A_Coming_Crisis_in_Teaching_REPORT.pdf
    16. Sutcher, L., Darling-Hammond, L., & Carver-Thomas, D. (2016).
  • Postsecondary Education

    Postsecondary Education

    Postsecondary Education

    The continued shift to a knowledge-based economy means the best opportunities for job prospects and upward mobility will require education and training beyond high school

    Although rates of college readiness in the region have increased, college enrollment has declined and completion has mostly stagnated, with the result that not enough Houston-area students earn postsecondary credentials after high school. Disparities in college readiness, enrollment, and completion persist.

    Why postsecondary education matters to Houston

    Many Americans recognize the importance of pursuing a college education. Nearly 9 in 10 adults (89%) without postsecondary education in 2024 believed that some type of education beyond high school is extremely or very valuable, according to a Gallup survey. Additionally, those with higher education are less likely to experience unemployment and more likely to have a higher income compared to their peers with less education.

    The challenge, however, is not only in convincing people that higher education is an important, worthwhile, enriching endeavor with myriad personal, economic, and social benefits, but also in adequately supporting students for that pathway whether they choose to pursue it or not. This includes ensuring all students receive a high-quality primary and secondary education (regardless of where they live or household income) so they are prepared for the academic demands of higher education; providing plenty of information so they select the institution that will best support their academic goals and objectives; keeping college affordable so all students have the opportunity to attend — not just those with the most financial resources and privilege — and supporting students throughout their entire college careers so they can persist and ultimately finish their degrees. In a region as diverse as Houston’s — not only in terms of race/ethnicity, but also income and place of birth — these are critical to provide for all students, particularly those who have been historically underrepresented in higher education and who have lacked access to opportunities and resources because of the legacy of discrimination.

    Understanding the various challenges and obstacles Houston-area residents face in their higher education pursuits is key to developing intervention and support strategies to ensure everyone in the region has the chance to successfully attend college and finish with a credential.

    The data

    Before getting into the data about readiness, enrollment and completion, it is helpful to clarify exactly what is postsecondary education. In the simplest terms, any education or training that goes beyond traditional high school coursework is considered postsecondary education. Common postsecondary options include four-year universities, two-year community colleges, trade schools, apprenticeships, and military.

    Postsecondary readiness rates in the Houston region increase for third consecutive year

    College, Career, and Military Readiness

    Measuring college, career, and military readiness (CCMR) indicators started in 2017 under HB 22 as part of the new A-F school accountability system, prompted by a desire to hold schools accountable for postsecondary preparation rather than just test scores, and it gained a funding incentive in 2019 under HB 3. This indicator aims to measure high school graduates’ preparedness for college, the workforce, or the military. A high school graduate is considered CCMR if they meet at least one of 10 criteria, including six that measure college readiness and four that measure career or military readiness.

    Of the 382,000 Texas public high school graduates in 2024, over 312,000 (or 82%) demonstrated college, career, or military readiness. That is an increase of 16 percentage points from 2018.

    The share of graduates classified as CCMR in each county of the region and the state ticked up between 2018 and 2019 but declined the following year in 2020. Rates mostly stagnated in 2021 but began to tick back up in 2022. As of 2024, the rate of CCMR high school graduates across the region and state is higher than it was in 2018. The CCMR rate increased by 8 percentage points in Fort Bend, 15 points in Harris, 12 points in Montgomery counties and 16 points across the state of Texas since 2018. The percent of graduates classified as CCMR in 2024 was 77% in Fort Bend County, 80% in Harris County, 83% in Montgomery County, and 82% statewide.

    Read about foundational academic readiness in early childhood education in Texas.

    About 80% of Houston-area students graduate high school prepared for success in college, career, or military.

    College Readiness

    College readiness/preparedness refers to the cumulative knowledge and skills a high school graduate is expected to have upon entering higher education. The Texas Education Agency (TEA) offers a composite measure of College-Readiness that reflects the percentage of high school graduates who have met at least one of six criteria: (1) meeting the college-ready criteria on the Texas Success Initiative (TSI) Assessment (ELA/reading and math), SAT, ACT, or by successfully completing and earning credit for a college prep course; (2) earning a minimum of dual course credit hours; (3) passing at least one AP or IB exam; (4) earning an associate’s degree while in high school; (5) earning OnRamps dual enrollment course credits; or (6) a graduate who is identified as receiving special education who graduates under an Advanced Diploma Plan.

    The share of high school graduates in Texas classified as college-ready by these criteria has ticked up significantly since 2018. The statewide average increased from 50% in 2018 to 70% in 2024. It is worth noting that the college-ready criterion specific to students receiving special education was not included prior to the 2022–23 school year. This additional criterion may have contributed to the increases in college-readiness rates.

    Between 2018 and 2022, college-readiness rates dipped or were flat, but more recently college-readiness rates increased significantly—by 20 points in Fort Bend County, 19 points in Harris County, 15 points in Montgomery County, and 17 points statewide. The definition of college readiness for the 2022–23 school year was updated to include an additional criterion which may have contributed to the significant increases in college-readiness rates. In 2024, the majority of high school graduates in Houston’s three-county region were considered college-ready—72% in Fort Bend, 70% in Harris, and 68% in Montgomery counties. This is on par with the state rate of 70%.

    70% of Houston-area high school graduates are considered “college ready.”

    SAT/ACT Participation and Performance

    One measure of college readiness in Texas is performance on the SAT or ACT, widely used college admissions exams. Texans are much more likely to take the SAT than the ACT. According to the Texas Education Agency, nearly 292,000 graduates from Texas public and private high schools in 2024 took the SAT compared to 87,200 who took the ACT.  For students in the class of 2024, 73% took the SAT in Texas, compared to 51% nationally, and 22% took the ACT, compared to 36% nationally.

    More than 400 school districts across the state participate in SAT School Day—when students can take the SAT on their high school campus during the school day, rather than on the weekend (which is typical).

    In 2024, about 91% of high school graduates in Fort Bend and 89% in Harris counties took either the SAT or ACT. Montgomery County participation rates are lower at about 68%, which is lower than the statewide rate as well. After a dip in SAT/ACT participation rates during the school years most impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic (2020-21 and 2021-22), rates ticked up in 2023 and leveled off in 2024, except in Montgomery County where there was another drop. Between 2018 and 2024, participation rates increased by 9 percentage points in Fort Bend County, 5 points in Montgomery County, and 3 points in Harris County.

    The rate of high school graduates who score at or above criterion for the SAT or ACT tells a different story however. As participation in these tests increases, performance tends to decline. Between 2018 and 2024, the percentage of high school graduates who scored at or above the threshold required to be considered college ready decreased 8 percentage points in Montgomery County, 6 points in Fort Bend County, and 5 points in Harris County and across the state. Regionally, Fort Bend and Montgomery counties historically have had the highest percentage of high school graduates who scored at or above criterion while Harris County’s rate has been the lowest of the three counties. As of 2024, college-readiness rates of high school graduates per the SAT/ACT were 37% in Fort Bend, 29% in Montgomery, and 26% in Harris counties, higher than the statewide rate of 23%.

    Participation rates and performance vary considerably by gender, racial group and socioeconomic status. As with most racial/ethnic disparities in education, this is partly because of discriminatory practices that have existed since our nation’s founding (such as redlining and segregation), exacerbated by present-day imbalances (i.e., poverty, disinvestment in public schools).

    Across all counties and the state, Asian American students were the most likely to take the SAT or ACT while economically disadvantaged and Black students were the least likely.  The SAT/ACT participation rates by demographic groups vary the most in Montgomery County with only 54% of economically disadvantaged students taking the SAT or ACT compared to 95% of Asian American students.

    Differences among demographic groups are much larger for SAT/ACT performance than participation. In Fort Bend County, economically disadvantaged, Black, and Hispanic high school graduates meet the college-ready criteria for SAT/ACT performance at a rate 16–18 percentage points lower than all students in the county despite participating at lower rates.

    Career or Military Readiness

    While most postsecondary outcomes focus on higher education (“college ready”), Texas high schools can help students achieve alternative paths to employment. According to the TEA, a high school graduate is considered career or military ready if they meet any of the four career or military readiness criteria: (1) earn an industry-based certification; (2) graduate with an individualized education program and demonstrated workforce readiness skills; (3) graduate with a level I or level II in a workforce education area; or (4) enlist in the Armed Forces.

    The share of high school graduates who were designated as career or military ready increased between 2018 and 2019 but then fell further back in 2020.  Since then, these rates have increased in all regions except Fort Bend County (where more graduating students are classified as “college ready” than “career or military ready”). Rates of career or military readiness in each of the greater Houston region’s three counties and the state overall in 2024 were above where they were in 2018, increasing most significantly in Montgomery County (19 percentage points). As of 2024, 44% of high school graduates in Montgomery County were considered career or military ready, compared to 38% across Texas, 36% in Harris County, and 24% in Fort Bend County.

    College enrollment rates directly from Texas high schools have declined over the last decade

    The most recent data available at publication is for students who graduated in 2024 and enrolled in higher education the following fall. The data includes students who attend both public and independent/private colleges and universities, but excludes students who go out-of-state.

    Between 2017 and 2024, total in-state college enrollment rates (combining 2- and 4-year enrollment) decreased by 6 points across Texas, 12 percentage points in Fort Bend County, 8 points in Harris County, and 5 points in Montgomery County.

    From 2017 to 2024, both two-year college and four-year university enrollment across Houston’s three-county region dipped four percentage points.

    Among Fort Bend County high school graduates, in-state college enrollment has been declining gradually since 2017, predating the pandemic, and has not yet recovered. By 2024, graduates enrolled in in-state two-year colleges at a rate 7 points lower than in 2017, and in four-year universities at a rate 5 points lower. In Harris County, 2-year enrollment rates in fall 2024 were 20% on part with 4-year enrollment rates – this is about 3 and 4 points lower, respectively, compared to 2017. In Montgomery County, 2-year enrollment rates were 19% while 4-year enrollment rates were 21%. These are lower than in 2017, but less so compared to the declines seen in Fort Bend and Harris counties.

    College enrollment by race/ethnicity is available only at the state level. Texas high school graduates who identify as Asian American enroll in the state’s higher education institutions at the highest rate among the four largest racial/ethnic groups (55%), and Black students have the lowest enrollment rate at 40%. Asian American students have the highest rate of enrollment in public 4-year universities (39%) and the lowest enrollment rates in public 2-year colleges (14%). Hispanic students have the lowest enrollment rates in public 4-year universities (18%) and the highest rate of enrollment in public 2-year universities (22%).

    Note: Educational outcomes vary significantly within the “Asian” category as the term includes a group of people who descend from about 50 different countries with distinct political and immigration histories. For example, according to a 2025 report from the Pew Research Center, 77% of Indian Americans and 58% of Chinese Americans have a bachelor’s degree compared to 20% of Bhutanese and 18% of Laotians.  Additionally, given that the general terms “Hispanic” or “Latino” are used to describe a group of people who originate from a wide variety of Spanish-speaking or Latin American countries, and who understand their identity in different ways, the diversity within that broad group can often go unnoticed. Similar to Asian Americans, the educational attainment varies within this broader group. The latest data available from the Pew Research Center shows that 57% of Venezuelans and 46% of Argentines have at least a bachelor’s degree compared to 13% of Salvadorans and 11% of Guatemalans.

    Several factors contribute to a high school graduate’s decision to not enroll in a higher education program to which they have been accepted. Students may opt to attend a different higher education institution, somewhere out of state, or to not enroll entirely — a phenomenon known as “summer melt.” Research shows that access to financial aid is among the largest factors that contribute to “summer melt,” and that targeting interventions for students who are the first in their family to attend higher education or who come from low-income backgrounds or racial/ethnic groups that have been historically underrepresented and under-supported in higher education could have the most significant impact.1,2,3

    The share of Texas high school graduates who applied to in-state public four-year universities for the fall semester immediately following high school graduation reached a decade high in 2023 at 37%, nearly 4 percentage points higher from 34% in 2013.

    Similarly, the college admission rate for this population ticked up in 2023 to 34% from 29% in 2013. We see a similar trend in the rate of college applicants who are accepted and enroll in a four-year university, increasing by just over 1 percentage point between 2013 (20%) and 2022 (22%). Concerningly, the percentage of college applicants who were accepted to a four-year in-state public university but did not enroll increased from 9% in 2013 to 12% in 2023.

    Too few Houston-area students complete college on time

    Completing college with a degree or certificate is important for both individuals pursuing higher education and the region at large. Students who finish college are more likely to work in jobs that earn livable wages and provide benefits, and be  civically engaged.4 Moreover, when students leave college without completing a degree, many are saddled with the debt without benefitting from the wage premium that higher education degrees typically provide. This double-negative situation where costs increase without improvement in earnings leads to a higher likelihood of defaulting on student loans, which jeopardizes future earnings, job and housing prospects; damages credit history and limits the ability to borrow money in the future; and hinders overall economic mobility and prosperity.5

    The following data shows the percentage of high school students who received a degree or credential from a public Texas four- or two-year college within eight years of their high school graduation.

    About 20% of students who graduated from a Texas public high school in 2017 (the most recent year for which there is complete data) received a degree from a public in-state four-year university within eight years of their high school graduation (by 2025). Only about 10% of high school graduates in 2017 who earned a four-year degree finished within four years An additional 6% took five years, and 3% more took six years (150% of normal time) to finish a “four-year” degree.

    One out of five HS grads in 2017 earned a four-year degree from a Texas public university by 2025.

    The traditional mission of community colleges is different from four-year universities as students typically hope to transfer from a two-year college to a four-year university, and they may or may not receive a credential on that path. About 11% of students who graduated from a Texas public high school in 2017 (the most recent year for which there is complete data) received a degree or certificate from a public in-state two-year college within eight years. For high school graduates who earn a two-year degree, 8% completed their degree within four years (200% of normal time). For the high school class of 2017, about 3% of high school grads completed in two years or fewer (normal time) after high school graduation. An additional 2% took five to six years to finish a “two-year” degree.

    One out of 10 HS grads in 2017 earned a certificate or degree from a public 2-yr college in Texas by 2025.

    Too few eighth graders earn a college credential by the time they turn 25

    Tracking the educational progress of eighth graders who attend Texas public schools shows that a small share ultimately received a college credential from a Texas higher education institution within six years of their projected high school graduation date, or by the time they are 25 years old.

    Among Texas students who started eighth grade in 2015, 82% graduated from high school, 55% enrolled in a university or college (either in Texas or out-of-state), and 28% graduated with a postsecondary degree or credential within six years of completing high school.

    What about the progress of Houston-area public school students going to college in Texas? Outcomes in Houston’s three-county region closely mirror that in the state. Nearly 80,200 eighth graders were enrolled in Houston’s three-county region in 2014–15: about 8,300 in Fort Bend; 64,200 in Harris; and 7,800 in Montgomery.

    Students who live in Fort Bend County have had better postsecondary outcomes than those in in Harris and Montgomery counties and Texas overall. In Fort Bend County, 40% of eighth-grade students earned a postsecondary degree or credential within six years of graduating high school compared to 27% in Harris County and 30% in Montgomery County.

    About two in five 8th graders in Fort Bend County will earn a postsecondary degree or credential within six years of graduating high school—the highest rate in Houston’s three-county region.

    As we’ve seen with other educational indicators, disparities exist across groups partly due to discriminatory practices that have existed since our nation’s founding which are exacerbated by present-day imbalances. Black and Hispanic eighth-grade students are less likely than their white peers to complete a postsecondary education within six years of graduating high school. In the Houston region, 22% of Black and Hispanic students in the eighth-grade cohort completed postsecondary education compared to 40% of white students.

    Female students are more likely than their male classmates to earn a postsecondary degree by 11-12 percentage points across the three-county region and the state of Texas. Additionally, eighth graders classified as economically disadvantaged complete college at rates significantly below their non-economically disadvantaged peers—by 26 percentage points lower in Fort Bend, 21 points lower in Harris, and 25 points lower in Montgomery counties.

    Helpful Articles by Understanding Houston:

    Resources

    References:

    1. Chen, X. (2016). Remedial Coursetaking at U.S. Public 2- and 4-Year Institutions: Scope, Experiences, and Outcomes (NCES 2016-405). U.S. Department of Education. Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics. https://nces.ed.gov/pubs2016/2016405.pdf
    2. Hughes, K. L., & Scott-Clayton, J. (2011). Assessing developmental assessment in community colleges. Community College Review, 39(4), 327-351.
    3. National Student Clearinghouse Research Center. (December 2021). High School Benchmarks: National College Progression Rates. Retrieved from https://nscresearchcenter.org/high-school-benchmarks/
    4. Holzman, B. & Hanson, V. S. (2020). Summer Melt and Free Application for Federal Student Aid Verification. Houston, TX: Houston Education Research Consortium, Kinder Institute for Urban Research, Rice University.
    5. Castleman, B. L., & Page, L. C. (2014). A trickle or a torrent? Understanding the extent of summer “melt” among college‐intending high school graduates. Social Science Quarterly, 95(1), 202-220.
    6. Chan, R. Y. (2016). Understanding the purpose of higher education: An analysis of the economic and social benefits for completing a college degree. Journal of Education Policy, Planning and Administration, 6(5), 1-40.

  • Academic Outcomes

    Academic Outcomes

    Academic Outcomes

    Grade-level performance from elementary through high school shapes far more than test scores

    Academic outcomes for students in Houston’s three-county region suffered because of the pandemic, and while third grade reading performance has surpassed pre-pandemic levels, proficiency in eighth-grade math and algebra has not yet recovered. High school graduation rates in the suburban counties exceed 90%, with Harris County at 89%.

    Why academic outcomes matters to Houston

    Schools play a vital role, equipping children and adolescents with the foundational skills and knowledge they need to succeed and contribute to our society. However, children in the Houston region have disparate access to high-quality education that adequately prepares them for academic success. An analysis of 10 years of data from 4,000 school districts and 430 million test scores by the Educational Opportunity Project at Stanford University found that the strongest predictor of academic achievement gaps is the racial concentration of poverty in schools. Locally and nationally, Black and Hispanic students are five times more likely to attend a high-poverty (i.e. at least 75% of students experience poverty) school than white students1, which results in very different educational experiences: High-poverty schools tend to have lower access to resources than low-poverty schools, students from low-income families on average perform better in low-poverty than high-poverty schools and it costs more per-pupil to educate a poor student in a high-poverty school than it does to educate a similar student in a low-poverty school. Not only are these gaps harmful for the affected individuals, but they also have consequences on the wider economy. A 2009 report by McKinsey & Company estimated that gaps in educational outcomes have had a larger negative impact on GDP than all recessions from the 1970s up to that point.

    Individuals who struggle to read critically, understand mathematical concepts, and graduate from high school are most likely to have limited prospects — academic, professional, social, economic — in the future. Established literature has found that student performance in third-grade reading2 and eighth-grade math or algebra3 are most predictive of future educational outcomes. Three key indicators — standardized test performance, high school graduation rates and non-completion rates — illustrate, in part, how Houston-area schools are serving students.

    The better we understand how Houston-area students are performing, the more that can be done to ensure our schools are adequately preparing them for a productive and prosperous future.

    The data

    The State of Texas Assessments of Academic Readiness (STAAR) testing program is based on curriculum standards in grades 3 through 8 (such as reading, writing, mathematics) and in core subjects typically taken in high school (such as history, science, social studies). Because of disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, Texas canceled STAAR tests in Spring 2020. TEA made the test optional in 2021 for students who were learning remotely (76% of whom still participated). Overall, 88% of students across the state participated in STAAR in 2021 compared to 99% in 2019. Given these anomalies, the 2021 data should be interpreted with caution. STAAR participation rates ticked back up with 99% of Texas students taking the exam in 2022 and after.

    Additionally, as we dig into specific population groups, it is important to note that TEA masks certain data at the district level if there are fewer than five students. When aggregated over many districts, this can lead to a lower reported scores, an undercount, and/or wide variance across years for smaller student populations like for Asian American or Black students in Montgomery County, or Special Ed and Emergent Bilingual students in both suburban counties, among others.

    STAAR third-grade reading scores continue to climb

    Third grade has been identified as important to reading literacy because it is the final year children are learning to read, after which they are “reading to learn.” Proficiency in third-grade reading exams correlates with success in future academic outcomes,4 including success in higher-level math coursework,5 eighth-grade reading level and college enrollment.6 Moreover, research has shown that third-grade students who do not read proficiently are four times more likely to not graduate from high school on time than those who read proficiently.7

    STAAR third grade reading scores tend to be highest in Fort Bend County followed by Montgomery County, performing higher than the statewide average and Harris County. The percentage of third graders who scored at or above grade level reached a seven-year peak across geographies in 2025. Since 2018, scores increased by 12 points in Fort Bend, 9 points in Harris and Montgomery counties, and 8 points statewide, exceeding pre-pandemic levels. Despite this progress, only about half of third graders in Harris County are reading on or above grade level.

    The percentage of third graders in Fort Bend County who met or exceeded grade-level reading standards rose by 12 points between 2018 (52%) and 2025 (63%).

    The same county-level pattern emerges when disaggregating by various demographic and school program characteristics. Nearly all groups saw an increase in the share of students who met standards in 2025 compared to 2018.

    Third graders in Fort Bend saw the largest gains, but scores increased across nearly all groups. In Fort Bend County, Black students saw the largest gains in the percentage that met or exceeded standards for third-grade reading, increasing by 17 points; economically disadvantaged students experienced a 14-point increase. Black students in Harris County also saw the largest gains (13 points) followed closely by white students (11 points). In Montgomery County, the percentage of Hispanic students who met or exceeded standards in third grade reading increased 10 percentage points.  

    Despite these improvements, disparities across groups persist. Students enrolled in special education continue to face the greatest challenges in meeting third grade reading standards. In 2025, about 28% met state standards in Harris County. In 2025, non-economically disadvantaged students in Houston’s three-county region met third grade reading standards at rates about 30 percentage points higher than students who are classified as economically disadvantaged.

    STAAR algebra scores fell sharply after the pandemic and have been slow to recover

    Proficiency in eighth-grade math is an important measure to assess student readiness for high school and has been linked to future academic success in higher-level math, which has consequences for college readiness and enrollment.8

    Eighth-graders who are not enrolled in algebra take the eighth-grade math STAAR test, while eighth-graders who are enrolled in algebra take the Algebra End-of-Course (EOC) exam to assess proficiency.

    Student performance on the STAAR eighth grade math exam has been significantly impacted by the pandemic. The share of students who met standards on the STAAR eighth-grade math test in each of the Houston area’s three counties and statewide was lower in 2025 than in 2018. Despite experiencing the largest decline during this period, Montgomery County continued to lead the three-county region in 2025 at 53%, followed by 49% in Fort Bend County and 50% in Harris County. The share of eighth graders who met or exceeded grade level standards on the STAAR math exam peaked in 2019 and then sharply fell in 2021. Since these 2021 lows, the share of eighth graders who meet or exceed math standards in 2025 increased by 12 points in Fort Bend and 15 points in Harris County, compared to 11-point gains statewide. Despite this strong demonstration of growth, only about half of Houston-area eighth graders are considered on grade level in math.

    Despite double-digit gains in Fort Bend and Harris counties, Houston-area eighth graders are still struggling to catch up to state standards in algebra since the pandemic’s deep declines.

    In Houston’s three-county area, most demographic groups saw declines in the percentage of eighth graders who met grade level standards in math between 2018 and 2025, with the greatest declines seen in Montgomery County. In Fort Bend County, female and white students saw the largest declines, each falling 8 percentage points from 2018 to 2025. In Harris County, Hispanic students saw the largest drop in the share of students meeting performance on the STAAR eighth-grade math exam—a decline of 5 points. And the gap between students classified as economically disadvantaged and not-economically-disadvantaged are significant, with a high of 32 percentage points in Montgomery County to a “low” of 27 points in Harris County.

    In Montgomery County, economically disadvantaged eighth-graders trail their wealthier peers by 32 percentage points on the STAAR math test.

    Algebra is typically introduced in ninth grade and is an indicator of future academic success.9 However, students who take algebra in eighth grade are more likely to attend and complete college.10 Results for students who took algebra in between 2018 and 2025 are below. These results include anyone who took the Algebra End-of-Course (EOC) in eighth or ninth grade.

    Performance on the Algebra EOC exams saw significant declines due to the pandemic, with the share of Houston-area students who met standards about 10 points lower in 2025 compared to 2019. While Algebra EOC performance began to rebound after 2021, it remains below where they were pre-pandemic (2019)—by 17 points in Fort Bend, 9 points in Harris, and 13 points in Montgomery counties.

    The share of students in Fort Bend County who met or exceeded standards on the Algebra EOC exam declined by 16 percentage points from 2018 to 2025—the largest decline in the region. In 2025, 52% of students in Harris County passed the Algebra EOC exam—the highest passing rate in the region—followed by 50% in Fort Bend County and 48% in Montgomery County. All three Houston-area counties out-performed the state average of 45%.

    52% of students in Harris County passed the Algebra EOC exam in 2025—the highest rate in the three-county region.

    Algebra EOC performance generally weakened between 2018 and 2025, but the decline was uneven. Fort Bend experienced the sharpest broad-based losses, including roughly 18-point drops for Black, Hispanic, female, and economically disadvantaged students. Montgomery County also saw substantial declines with the same student groups experiencing the greatest losses. Harris County was comparatively stable across most groups. Students classified as not economically disadvantaged are twice as likely to pass the Algebra EOC compared to their economically disadvantaged peers.

    The 2025 Algebra EOC results in Fort Bend County show a 32-percentage-point divide between economically disadvantaged students and their not-economically-disadvantaged peers.

    High school graduation rates tick up

    Graduating from high school within four years is correlated with many positive future educational and life outcomes, as a diploma is a minimum requirement for most well-paying jobs and higher education. People with high school diplomas are less likely to rely on public assistance and interact with the criminal legal system, and are more likely to pursue postsecondary training and/or education and have higher earnings.11

    According to the National Center for Education Statistics, the graduation rate for the Class of 2024 was 89.0% for the nation and 91.2% for Texas, ranking the state 11th among the 50 states and District of Columbia.

    In the Houston three-county region, Fort Bend and Montgomery counties have consistently had higher graduation rates compared to the state, while Harris County’s rate has been the lowest, though that gap has narrowed in recent years. Harris County’s graduation rate increased by about 5 percentage points from 84% in 2011 to 89% in 2024; Fort Bend and Montgomery counties also increased their grad rates over the last decade, by 3–4 percentage points, respectively.

    As with most educational outcomes, high school graduation rates vary by demographic characteristics and program. This is partly because of discriminatory practices that have existed since the nation’s founding (such as redlining), exacerbated by present-day disparities (i.e., poverty, disinvestment in public schools).

    Among the Class of 2024, within their respective counties, men had slightly lower graduation rates than women; students classified as economically disadvantaged had lower graduation rates than their more economically secure peers; and students enrolled in special ed programs or who were emergent bilingual had the lowest graduation rates.

    Graduation rates between 2020 and 2024 increased across all demographic groups in Harris County and in Montgomery County, with the exception of students enrolled in special ed programs where they fell by about 3 percentage points. In Fort Bend County, graduation rates were mostly flat except it declined by 3 percentage points for Black students and increased four percentage points among emergency bilingual students. Statewide, graduation rates were mostly flat across demographic groups, except for emergent bilingual students whose graduation rates increased by 6 percentage points between 2020 and 2024.

    The gap in graduation rates between 2020 and 2024 for non-economically disadvantaged students compared to their economically disadvantaged peers widened slightly in Fort Bend and Harris counties, while it decreased slightly in Montgomery County.

    High school non-completion rates in Houston’s suburban counties are lowest in the region

    Given the importance of high school graduation for later educational and economic outcomes, it is unsurprising that leaving high school without a diploma has consistently been linked with negative life outcomes. Students who leave high school without a diploma are more likely to be unemployed, earn less, rely on public assistance, and become involved in the criminal legal system.12 On average, a person without a high school diploma can expect to earn about $330,000 less over their lifetime than someone with a high school diploma as their highest level of educational attainment.13

    Studies suggest that not completing high school is the outcome of a dynamic and cumulative process of disengagement. Common reasons for leaving before graduating include missing too many school days, failing too many classes, not being engaged in school, and having family obligations. The key to reducing the non-completion rate is to pay attention to all signs of disengagement and intervene at an early stage.14,15

    The high school non-completion rate in Texas has hovered around 6% over the past decade. Non-completion rates are consistently highest in Harris County, averaging between7–8%. Non-completion rates in Fort Bend and Montgomery counties have been relatively steady since 2011 and are consistently lower than the statewide rate.

    While calculated differently than above, the National Center for Education Statistics reports the high school non-completion rate in 2024 was 2.6% nationally and 1.9% in Texas.

    High school non-completion rates in Houston’s three-county region are consistently highest in Harris County.

    High schools in the three-county region are less likely to graduate Black and Latino students, which is why these groups also have higher non-completion rates compared to their white peers. This is partly because Black and Latino students are five times more likely to attend a high-poverty school than white students,16 resulting in unequal educational experiences.17

    Among the Class of 2024, men left high school before graduating at slightly higher rates than women; students classified as economically disadvantaged did not finish at higher rates than their higher-income peers; and students in special ed programs or who are emergent bilingual had the highest non-completion rates, numbering in the double-digits in Harris County and statewide. 

    Between 2020 and 2024, non-completion rates in Fort Bend County increased by about 3 percentage points among students in special ed programs. Positively, high school non-completion rates fell by five percentage points for emergent bilingual students in Harris County during the same period, though about 14% of students classified as emergent bilingual leave high school without graduating. Among Houston’s three-county region, only Montgomery County saw a narrowing of the gap between students classified as economically disadvantaged and their non-economically disadvantaged counterparts.

    Resources

    References:

    1. Analysis of data from the Educational Opportunity Project at Stanford University by Dr. Ruth Turley, Houston Education Research Consortium. Retrieved from https://kinder.rice.edu/urbanedge/concentrated-poverty-schools-redlinings-legacy-undoing-it-should-be-ours
    2. Hernandez, D. J. (2011). Double jeopardy: How third-grade reading skills and poverty influence high school graduation. Annie E. Casey Foundation. Retrieved from https://files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/ED518818.pdf
    3. Wang, J., & Goldschmidt, P. (2003). Importance of middle school mathematics on high school students’ mathematics achievement. The Journal of Educational Research, 97(1), 3-17.
    4. Dan Goldhaber, Malcolm Wolff, Timothy Daly (2021). Assessing the Accuracy of Elementary School Test Scores as Predictors of Students’ High School Outcomes. CALDER Working Paper No. 235-0821-2
    5. Kevin J. Grimm. (2008). Longitudinal Associations Between Reading and Mathematics Achievement, Developmental Neuropsychology, 33:3, 410-426, DOI: 10.1080/87565640801982486
    6. Lesnick, J., Goerge, R.M., & Smithgall, C. (2010). Reading on grade level in third grade: How is it related to high school performance and college enrollment? Chicago, IL: Chapin Hall at the University of Chicago.
    7. The Annie E. Casey Foundation. (2010). Early Warning! Why Reading by the End of Third Grade Matters. KIDS COUNT Special Report. Retrieved from https://assets.aecf.org/m/resourcedoc/AECF-Early_Warning_Full_Report-2010.pdf
    8. Wang, J., & Goldschmidt, P. (2003).
    9. Walston, J., & McCarroll, J. C. (2010). Eighth-Grade Algebra: Findings from the Eighth-Grade Round of the Early Childhood Longitudinal Study, Kindergarten Class of 1998-99 (ECLS-K). Statistics in Brief. NCES 2010-016. National Center for Education Statistics.
    10. Loveless, Tom. (2001) “How well are American students learning?” The Brown Center Report on Education, Washington, DC. 1(2). https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/09education-1.pdf
    11. Rumberger, R. W. (1987). High school dropouts: A review of issues and evidence. Review of educational research, 57(2), 101-121.
    12. Rumberger, R. W. (1987).
    13. Carnevale, A. P., Cheah, B., & Wenzinger, E.(2021). The College Payoff: More Education Doesn’t Always Mean More Earnings. Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce. Retrieved from https://cew.georgetown.edu/cew-reports/collegepayoff2021/.
    14. National Research Council. High school dropout, graduation, and completion rates: Better data, better measures, better decisions. Washington, DC: National Academies Press, 2011. https://www.nap.edu/read/13035/chapter/1
    15. Doll, J. J., Eslami, Z., & Walters, L. (2013). Understanding Why Students Drop Out of High School, According to Their Own Reports: Are They Pushed or Pulled, or Do They Fall Out? A Comparative Analysis of Seven Nationally Representative Studies. SAGE Open. https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244013503834
    16. Analysis of data from the Educational Opportunity Project at Stanford University by Dr. Ruth Turley, Houston Education Research Consortium. Retrieved from https://kinder.rice.edu/urbanedge/concentrated-poverty-schools-redlinings-legacy-undoing-it-should-be-ours
    17. Rothstein, R. (2015). The racial achievement gap, segregated schools, and segregated neighborhoods: A constitutional insult. Race and social problems, 7(1), 21-30.
  • Educational Attainment

    Educational Attainment

    Educational Attainment

    An indicator correlated with many life outcomes, educational attainment profoundly affects individual and regional prosperity

    Though the average Houstonian has more education than they did 10 years ago, significant disparities across race/ethnicity persist.

    Why educational attainment matters to Houston

    The benefits of obtaining an education beyond primary and secondary school extend not only to earning potential, health, and quality of life, but also to the collective well-being and economy of our region — now and in the future. People with a bachelor’s degree have lifetime average earnings that are $1.3 million higher than those with a high school diploma only.1,2 They also enjoy the lowest unemployment rates. Adults with stable, well-paying jobs are less likely to rely on the social safety net (nutritional assistance, subsidized housing, etc.) and less likely to interact with the criminal legal system.3 People with higher education tend to be healthier and live longer.4,5,6 Regions that are home to highly-skilled and educated workers attract and keep employers that provide good jobs, which attract additional skilled workers, fueling the cycle. A region thrives with revenue from additional investment and a growing population of skilled workers. People with higher education are also more likely to vote,7,8 which advances civic engagement in the region. Becoming the first person in a family to earn a college degree can positively affect the trajectory of their and their family’s lives, potentially for future generations.9

    However, only a minority successfully walk through this door of opportunity for myriad reasons. This is partly because of discriminatory practices that have existed since our nation’s founding (such as redlining and segregation), exacerbated by present-day disparities (poverty, disinvestment in public schools). Compounded over generations, the result is educational attainment levels that vary significantly by race/ethnicity.

    The more we work to improve overall levels of educational attainment — and eliminate disparities — the closer we get to a more vibrant region with opportunity for all.

    The data

    Low Educational Attainment Hurts Economic Prosperity

    What does educational attainment mean? Educational attainment refers to the highest level of education an individual has completed. As the shift continues toward a knowledge-based economy, higher levels of educational attainment have become increasingly important to social mobility.10 This doesn’t mean a bachelor’s degree is always necessary to secure a “good job,” but some kind of education and/or training beyond high school (also called post-secondary education) — such as a certificate, credential, apprenticeship, or associate degree — is critical to meeting the demands of the current workforce and to unlock future individual opportunities.

    For at least the last three decades, workers with higher educational attainment have the lowest unemployment rates—even during times of economic downturn such as the aftermaths of the Great Recession in 2008 and the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Additionally, during these economic crises, the unemployment rate tends to fluctuate less for those with more educational attainment. Between 2019 and 2020, the national unemployment rate for workers with a bachelor’s degree increased by 2.7 percentage points while the increase for those without a high school diploma was more than double that with a 6.5-point increase. As of 2025, the national unemployment rate for those with a bachelor’s degree was 2.6% compared to 4.2% for those with a high school diploma only and 6.0% for those without a high school diploma. Not only are lower education levels associated with higher unemployment, they are also associated with lower annual earnings and lower lifetime average earnings.11

    In 2025, unemployment for workers without a high school diploma was more than double the rate for college graduates.

    Educational attainment rates in the region continue upward trend, but with wide racial/ethnic disparities

    Educational attainment in Texas lags behind the nation. The state of Texas ranks second-to-last nationwide in the percentage of residents with at least a high school diploma at nearly 87%, compared to the national rate of 90%. Educational attainment levels in Harris County are lower than the state average, with 83% of adult residents having a high school diploma. Fort Bend and Montgomery counties fare better than the state and nation at 91% and 90%, respectively.

    Texas also ranks low in the percentage of the population over the age of 25 with bachelor’s degrees in 2024. About 35% of Texans have a bachelor’s degree or above, placing the state 28th among all states and the District of Columbia (D.C.), compared to 37% at the national level. Just over half of all adults in Fort Bend County have at least a bachelor’s degree (51%), the highest attainment rate in the three-county region. If Fort Bend County were a state, it would rank second in the nation, just behind D.C. (65%) and ahead of Massachusetts (48%). The proportion of adults without a high school diploma is highest in Harris County (17%). Adults in Montgomery County are most likely among the three counties to have some college education without a four-year degree (29%).

    If Fort Bend County were a state, it would rank second nationally in the share of adults with a bachelor’s degree.

    Educational attainment beyond high school continues to grow. Between 1990 and 2024, the percentage of adults without a high school diploma decreased by 15 percentage points across the U.S. and statewide and 10 points in the three-county area.

    Across the Houston region, the share of adults 25 years and older without a high school diploma has also steadily declined, but gaps remain between counties. Harris County has consistently had the highest percentage of adults without a high school diploma. As of 2024, 17% of Harris County adults lack a high school diploma, compared to 13% statewide. Still, Harris County has made progress, with an 8-percentage-point improvement since 1990. Montgomery County has seen the largest gains, cutting its rate by 15 points to 10% in 2024. Fort Bend County, which has consistently had the region’s lowest share of adults without a diploma, also saw significant gains of10 points over the same period.

    Between 1990 and 2024, the share of adults with bachelor’s degree or higher saw the greatest increase improving by 21 percentage points in Fort Bend County, 10 points in Harris, and 20 points in Montgomery County. 

    Educational attainment rates are unequal across race, ethnicity and gender

    Because of a lengthy history of discriminatory practices since the nation’s founding, which have been exacerbated by present-day imbalances, levels of educational attainment in the United States vary greatly by race/ethnicity. The three-county region is no exception, and these disparities are the direct and intended result of harmful policies, compounded over decades and are not related to any group’s intrinsic talents or priorities.

    Asian Americans — a group of people originating from about 50 different countries with distinct political and immigration histories — report the highest levels of education at the national, state, and regional levels. However, it is important to note that there is significant variation within this multi-faceted population. According to a 2025 report from the Pew Research Center, 77% of Indian Americans and 58% of Chinese Americans have a bachelor’s degree, while only 20% of Bhutanese and 18% of Laotians do. Chinese (22%) and Indian (21%) Americans make up the largest Asian American origin group in the United States. Comparatively, Bhutanese and Laotians make up about 1% of the population each. This difference contributes to the overall high levels of educational attainment for Asian Americans in the state.

    In Fort Bend County, 45% of Black adults have a bachelor’s degree or higher—22 percentage points higher than the national rate for Black adults (27%). However, that figure falls to 32% in Harris County, a rate on par with that of Texas overall, according to 2024 estimates.

    Consistent with national trends, Hispanic/Latino adults in the Houston area report lower levels of educational attainment. In all three counties, Hispanic adults are most likely to not have a high school diploma at a rate of 22% in Fort Bend County, 32% in Harris County, and 23% in Montgomery County, compared to the national rate of 26%.

    Because the general terms “Hispanic” or “Latino” are used to describe a group of people who originate from a wide variety of Spanish-speaking or Latin American countries, and who understand their identity in different ways, the diversity within that broad group can often go unnoticed. Similar to Asian Americans, the educational attainment varies within this broader group. The latest data available from the Pew Research Center shows that 57% of Venezuelans and 46% of Argentines have at least bachelor’s degree compared to 13% of Salvadorans and 11% of Guatemalans.

    Between 2000 and 2024, high school diploma attainment rose across all racial/ethnic groups, most sharply among Hispanic adults, who gained at least 22 percentage points in every geography. In Montgomery County, the share of Black adults with a diploma rose by 25 points.

    In 2005, for the first time in the nation’s history, women were more likely than men to have an education beyond a high school diploma. By 2024, 66% of women had some postsecondary education compared to 62% of men.

    In 2005, for the first time in the nation’s history, women were more likely than men to have an education beyond a high school diploma.

    Statewide in 2000, women trailed men in the share of the population with a postsecondary education. By 2010, women had caught up, and they have since pulled ahead: 64% of women in Texas now have a postsecondary education, compared to 60% of men. Women’s gains outpaced men’s over this period, rising 14 percentage points between 2000 and 2024 statewide versus an 8-point increase for men. The same trends appear in Fort Bend, Harris, and Montgomery counties. Women in Montgomery County saw the largest gains, climbing to 70% in 2024 from 53% in 2000.

    Helpful Articles by Understanding Houston:

    Resources

    References:

    1. There are, of course, differences across age, gender, race/ethnicity, and occupation.
    2. Carnevale, A. P., Cheah, B., & Rose, S. J. (2021). The College Payoff: More Education Doesn’t Always Mean More Earnings. Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce. Retrieved from https://cew.georgetown.edu/cew-reports/the-college-payoff/.
    3. Ewert, S., & Wildhagen, T. (2011). Educational characteristics of prisoners: Data from the ACS. Presentation at the Population Association of America. Retrieved from https://www.census.gov/library/working-papers/2011/demo/SEHSD-WP2011-08.html.
    4. Raghupathi, V., Raghupathi, W. The influence of education on health: an empirical assessment of OECD countries for the period 1995–2015. Arch Public Health 78, 20 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1186/s13690-020-00402-5
    5. Zajacova, A., & Lawrence, E. M. (2018). The Relationship Between Education and Health: Reducing Disparities Through a Contextual Approach. Annual review of public health, 39, 273–289. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-publhealth-031816-044628
    6. Roy, B., Kiefe, C. I., Jacobs, D. R., Goff, D. C., Lloyd-Jones, D., Shikany, J. M., Reis, J. P., Gordon-Larsen, P., & Lewis, C. E. (2020). Education, Race/Ethnicity, and Causes of Premature Mortality Among Middle-Aged Adults in 4 US Urban Communities: Results From CARDIA, 1985-2017. American Journal of Public Health, 110(4), 530–536. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2019.305506
    7. Milligan, K., Moretti, E., & Oreopoulos, P. (2004). Does education improve citizenship? Evidence from the United States and the United Kingdom. Journal of Public Economics,88(9–10), 1667–1695.
    8. Sondheimer, R. M., & Green, D. P. (2010). Using experiments to estimate the effects of education on voter turnout. American Journal of Political Science,54(1), 174–189.
    9. Kaushal, N. (2014). Intergenerational Payoffs of Education. The Future of Children, 24(1), 61–78. http://www.jstor.org/stable/23723383
    10. Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce, Three Educational Pathways to Good Jobs: High School, Middle Skills, and Bachelor’s Degree, 2018. Retrieved from https://cew.georgetown.edu/cew-reports/3pathways/.
    11. Carnevale, A. P., Cheah, B., & Rose, S. J. (2021).
  • Early Childhood Education

    Early Childhood Education

    Early Childhood Education in Houston

    Pre-K and kindergarten enrollment rates rebound in Fort Bend and Montgomery counties after pandemic losses, but Harris County still lags. 

    Following sharp declines during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, early childhood education enrollment in Fort Bend and Montgomery counties has not only rebounded but now exceeds pre-pandemic levels. In contrast, Harris County has yet to recover, continuing a decade-long trend of declining enrollment in early education programs.

    Why early childhood education matters to Houston

    What is early childhood education? Early childhood education refers to the learning period between birth and five years of age. Established research has found the period from birth to five is the most critical for brain development, and early childhood education reaches children at this meaningful point in their cognitive and social development. Student learning during this time period is linked to future academic accomplishments and is especially important for children classified as being English learners, having a learning disability, or being economically disadvantaged.1

    Research has shown that high-quality early childhood education programs help children learn language, mathematics, and social skills, with studies showing up to $17 returned in social benefits for every dollar invested in a high-quality pre-K program,2 and that students from low-income households may benefit the most.3 A growing body of research also shows long-term, non-test score benefits, such as a reduction in disciplinary problems in high school and an increase in college attendance.4 However, some pre-K evaluation studies show limited benefit, if any.5, 6 while other studies show that the effects of pre-K fade away over time.7 Most experts agree, however, that if pre-K is provided, quality is integral, as is ensuring that students receive the type of quality education they need to be successful well beyond pre-K.

    The more we understand how to increase access to and success in high-quality early childhood education, particularly for historically marginalized communities, the more successful future generations will be academically, socially, and emotionally.

    The data

    Texas spends about half the national average per child enrolled in pre-K

    According to the National Institute for Early Education’s 2025 State of Preschool Yearbook, Texas ranks 37th in state spending, and as of 2025, the national average of spending per pre-K student was nearly double what Texas spends. Through the passage of HB3 in 2019, an estimated $835 million in additional state funding was provided for early childhood education programs.

    In 2025, Texas spent $4,395 per child on state pre-K compared with $8,124 nationally, leaving Texas 46% below the national average of all states. Texas ranks 37th among states on this measure, placing it in the lower third nationally. Since 2002, Texas spending per child has declined 26%, while the national figure has increased 13%. Although Texas has consistently spent below the national average, the gap has widened sharply since the early 2010s and reached its widest point in 2025.

    Texas spent $4,395 per child in 2024–25—3% less than what it spent in 2020–21 and 46% of the national average in 2024–25.

    More than 90% of Houston-area pre-K students are enrolled in full-day programs

    Is pre-K free in Houston? Texas, like most states, does not offer universal early childhood education. However, children are eligible for free pre-K programs if they are unable to speak and comprehend English, are economically disadvantaged, are experiencing homelessness, or are in foster care. Children from military families are also eligible for free pre-K programs if they have a parent in active military service or who was killed/injured in service or a parent who received the Star of Texas Award

    In Texas, pre-kindergarten operates differently by school district as well. Some districts operate their own pre-K programs, while other districts contract with facilities, such as local child care centers, to provide their pre-K programs.

    The number of pre-K programs in the three-county area increased to 633 in 2024–25 from 550 in 2015–16. Since the 2015–16 school year, the number of pre-K programs has continued to increase across the Houston region with the largest increase occurring between 2019–20 and 2021–22 when an additional 35 programs were added. The Houston area has had a net-gain of 83 pre-K programs, a 15% increase since 2015–16.

    In 2019, Texas passed House Bill 3 (HB3) which primarily focused on school financing, but it also sought changes to the delivery of early education. It required that all prekindergarten programs offered to eligible four-year-olds must be full-day, and program meet the high-quality requirements set by House Bill 4.

    In 2025, the Texas legislature passed an $8.5 billion funding package through House Bill 2 that mandates: 1) increased per-student base funding and adjusted the Early Education Allotment (EEA), which provides additional funds to school districts based on the Average Daily Attendance ADA) of students in kindergarten through third-grade; 2) requires districts to prioritize pre-K for 4-year-olds; 3) expanded full-day pre-K eligibility to include children of public school teachers; and 4) introduced Texas Education Freedom Accounts (private school voucher/savings account program).

    Pre-K is typically offered as a full-day or half-day program. High-quality pre-K for the full day has added benefits over a shorter-day program, particularly for low-income children. Students from low-income families who attended a full-day pre-K program had higher scores on readiness assessments and better attendance. 

    Fort Bend saw the largest gains in full-day pre-K enrollment immediately following the passage of HB3 in 2019, increasing by 56 percentage points from 19% in 2018–19 to 75% in 2019–20, and reaching 100% in 2024–25. Full-day pre-K enrollment has also increased in Harris and Montgomery counties. In the 2024–25 school year, Fort Bend County had 100% full-day pre-K enrollment, and Montgomery and Harris counties had 88%.

    In Fort Bend County, 100% of pre-K students are enrolled in full-day programs.

    Pre-kindergarten enrollment in Fort Bend and Montgomery counties rebound from pandemic losses while continuing to lag in Harris County

    Students who attend pre-K can join a public program or a private program. Among 3- and 4-year-olds enrolled in pre-K, 58% in both Fort Bend and Harris County and 43% in Montgomery County attend a public program, according to 2024 American Community Survey data.

    study from the Houston Education Research Consortium (HERC) found that while families considered many factors in deciding whether to enroll their children in pre-K, the distance of the program is among the most influential.

    Pre-K enrollment in public schools in the three-county region reached a decade low in 2020–21, the first full year of the pandemic, when there were 37,600 students enrolled. In 2025–26, the three-county region enrolled 46,570 students, still 4% below pre-pandemic levels in 2019–20 and 3% below from a decade ago, indicating regional recovery remains incomplete.

    Individual county trends diverge: Fort Bend reached 4,144 students, up 39% from 2019–20 (pre-pandemic) and 76% from 2015–16, while Montgomery reached 3,812, up 26% and 48%, respectively. Harris County enrolled 38,614 students but remained 9% below 2019–20 and 10% below 2015–16, making it the main driver of the region’s slower recovery.

    According to the 2025 State of Preschool Yearbook released by the National Institute for Early Education Research, Texas ranks 16th in pre-K access for three-year-olds and 12th in pre-K access for four-year-olds among the 50 states. The report also cites that 11% of three-year-olds and 52% of four-year-olds living in the state were enrolled in public pre-K programs in 2024–25. This is above the national rate of 9% of three-year-olds and 37% of four-year-olds.

    Pre-K enrollment by program/age shows that Pre-K 4 continues to account for the vast majority of enrollment, but Pre-K 3 has become a growing part of the mix. In Houston’s three-county region, Pre-K 3 enrollment reached 5,939 in 2024–25, up 9% from 2019–20 and 34% from 2014–15. Pre-K 4 enrollment reached 39,837, up 2% from 2019–20 but roughly flat compared with 2014–15. As a result, Pre-K 3 represented 13% of total Pre-K enrollment in 2024–25.

    The trendline shows a sharp pandemic-era drop in both programs in 2020–21, followed by steady recovery. Pre-K 3 enrollment is up 7% in Harris County since 2019–20. Fort Bend County began offering pre-K to three-year-olds in 2020–21, enrolling slightly over 80 students that year, while Montgomery County has had no three-year-olds in pre-K since 2018–19.

    Pre-K 4 enrollment in Harris County is down about 2% since 2019–20 and down 10% compared to a decade ago. The suburban counties show stronger Pre-K 4 growth since 2019–20, increasing 34% in Fort Bend County and 14% in Montgomery County. Pre-K 4 enrollment in Fort Bend and Montgomery counties is up 81% and 175% in the last decade, respectively.

    The lack of high-quality, affordable programs available to families is a lost opportunity as a report on HISD schools by the Kinder Institute’s Houston Education Research Consortium (HERC) found that “students who received two years of pre-K education had a greater likelihood of school readiness than those who only got one.”

    One way to measure if early education is reaching the intended population is to compare the number of first-grade students who would have been identified as eligible to attend pre-K with the number of students who actually attended pre-K two school years prior. For example, first graders in 2024–25 would have attended pre–K as four-year-olds in 2022–23.

    Using the 2024–25 first-grade student data to determine pre-K eligibility, about 70% of eligible four-year-olds in Harris County were enrolled in a public pre-K program 2 years before (2022–23). In Montgomery County, 71% of eligible first-graders attended pre-K, and in Fort Bend that number was 45%. Following double-digit declines in pre-K enrollment during the pandemic, first-graders across the region and state are more likely to have attended pre-K in recent years,

    Houston’s three-county region has a higher rate of pre-K English-language learners compared to the state

    Because of eligibility requirements, almost all public pre-kindergarten students at Texas public schools are classified as economically disadvantaged. In the 2024–25 school year, 81% of Texas students enrolled in public pre-K programs were classified as economically disadvantaged.

    In the 2025–26 school year, 86% of students enrolled in Houston’s three-county area public pre-K programs were classified as economically disadvantaged, about 5 percentage points higher compared to the state. Additionally, 54% of the region’s pre-K public school students were English language learners (14 points higher than the state), and 6% were served by special education programs (on par with the state). Since 2019–20, the proportion of pre-K students classified as economically disadvantaged has fallen by 10 percentage points in Fort Bend, while the proportion of English-Language Learners has increased by 6 points in Harris County. The proportion of pre-K students in special education programs has increased 2–3% across all geographies.

    Across Texas, the majority (60%) of children enrolled in pre-K programs are Hispanic. Black and white children each comprise 15% , and 5% of students are Asian American and 3% are multiracial.

    A similar pattern exists regionally, but with considerable variations across counties, reflecting their respective racial/ethnic compositions. Given the extent to which race/ethnicity correlates with income and that pre-K programs are targeted to reach economically disadvantaged students, in 2025–26 within the three-county area, 59% of pre-K students are Hispanic, 22% are Black, 9% are white, 7% are Asian American, and 2% are multiracial. Consistent with the overall demographic composition of the counties, Montgomery County has a significantly higher share of white children enrolled in pre-K (23%), and Fort Bend County sees a much higher percentage of Asian American students (22%).

    Kindergarten enrollment dips in Harris County but climbs in Fort Bend and Montgomery counties

    Just as pre-K has been shown to have benefits to the child, so has kindergarten. Students who attend high-quality kindergarten enjoy a variety of academic and social-emotional boosts. According to established research, “the years from birth to age 5 are viewed as a critical period for developing the foundations for thinking, behaving, and emotional well-being.” Furthermore, providing high-quality education prior to students starting the first grade has substantial medium- and long-term benefits. Students are less likely to repeat a grade and are more prepared academically as they get older.

    In Texas, children who are five years old on or before September 1 are eligible, but not required, to attend kindergarten. Kindergarten at a Texas public school may be provided for half a day or a full day at the discretion of the district’s school board.

    Nearly 70,000 Houston-area students were enrolled in kindergarten in 2025–26, down 16% from the number enrolled in 2014–15. While current enrollment is about 11% lower than pre-pandemic, the number of Houston-area kindergarteners has been experiencing a steady decline over the last decade, driven primarily by lower enrollment in Harris County. Kindergarten enrollment in Harris County is down 14% since the pandemic and down 22% since 2014–15. Harris County’s decline in kindergarten enrollment mirrors the statewide trend, where we have seen a 9–10% decline since the pandemic and 2014–15.

    However, kindergarten enrollment in Fort Bend and Montgomery counties has seen the opposite trend where kindergarten enrollment has steadily grown, not only recovering from pandemic-era losses but also surpassing pre-pandemic levels. From 2014–15 to 2025–26, Fort Bend saw a 10% increase and Montgomery experienced a 14% jump. Notably, this upward trend in enrollment aligns with the population growth these counties have experienced during the same period.

    As of 2025–26, Harris County has fewer kindergarteners than it did in 2020–21—continuing a decade-long trend of decline.

    Kindergarten students in the Houston area come from diverse backgrounds

    In the 2024–25 school year, of the 72,779kindergarteners enrolled in Harris, Fort Bend, and Montgomery counties’ public schools, 65% were considered economically disadvantaged, with Harris County’s rate being the highest at 70%. About 38% of students enrolled in the three-county region were classified as English language learners (ELLs) and 12% were provided with special education services.

    Fort Bend and Montgomery counties have a lower percentage of students who are economically disadvantaged and who are ELLs compared to Harris County. Between 2019–20 and 2024–25, the percentage of kindergarten students in each of these categories has increased in each county and the state overall. The share of economically disadvantaged and ELL kindergarteners each increased by about 4–8 percentage points in Fort Bend and Montgomery counties.

    In the 2024–25 school year, the majority of kindergarteners in Texas public schools were Hispanic (53%), followed by white students (24%).

    Across Houston’s three-county area, 52% of kindergarteners enrolled in the 2025–26 school year were Hispanic, 18% were white, and 18% were Black. Fort Bend County had the largest percentage of Asian American kindergarteners (20%), while Montgomery County had the largest share of white kindergarteners (39%). Harris County has the highest percentage of Hispanic kindergarteners in the region at 56%.

    Kindergarten readiness rates rebound post-pandemic

    Some kindergartners enrolled in the Texas public school system are assessed on the Commissioner’s List of Reading Instruments, an inventory of the skills necessary for continued literacy development. Students must pass all required assessment domains to be considered “kindergarten ready.” Most Texas kindergarteners in the 2024–25 school year were assessed for kinder readiness (95%), and about half (51%) were classified as “kinder ready.”

    More than 90% of Houston-area kindergarten students were assessed for readiness in 2024–25. Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, kindergarten readiness assessment rates were historically lowest in Montgomery County (31% in 2019–20) compared to Harris County (90%) and Fort Bend County (96%). However, during the first full school year after the pandemic (2021–22), assessment rates soared by 65 percentage points in Montgomery County as rates declined in Fort Bend and remained flat in Harris counties and statewide. Since then, regional (except for Fort Bend) and statewide assessment rates have surpassed pre-pandemic levels.

    Houston’s three-county region saw kinder-readiness rates spike from 46% in 2019–20 to 68% the following year, well above the Texas average of 61%, before falling back to 57% in 2024-25. That current rate is 10 percentage points above pre-pandemic (2019–20) levels, whereas Texas overall is now two percentage points below its pre-pandemic baseline.

    At the county level, the most striking pattern is Montgomery County’s stability: it showed almost no pandemic-era spike in readiness rates (likely the result of dramatic one-year increase in assessment rates) and has hovered between 53% and 57% since 2017–18. By contrast, readiness rates in Fort Bend and Harris counties both surged roughly 25 percentage points in 2020-21, then dropped sharply. Fort Bend’s 2024–25 rate (57%) is only modestly above its pre-pandemic level, while Harris (also 57%) remains 12 points higher than 2019–20, the largest sustained gain of any geography. Compared to Texas, all three counties now outperform the statewide rate of 51%.

    Just over half (57%) of Houston-area students entering kindergarten are considered “ready.”

    Read about educational attainment, academic outcomes, and post-secondary education in Houston

    Helpful Articles by Understanding Houston:

    Resources

    References:

    1. Burger, Kaspar. “How Does Early Childhood Care and Education Affect Cognitive Development? An International Review of the Effects of Early Interventions for Children from Different Social Backgrounds.” Early Childhood Research Quarterly 25, no. 2 (2010): 140–65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecresq.2009.11.001
    2. Meloy, Beth, Madelyn Gardner, and Linda Darling-Hammond. “Untangling the Evidence on Preschool Effectiveness.” Learning Policy Institute, Palo Alto (2019). https://learningpolicyinstitute.org/sites/default/files/product-files/Untangling_Evidence_Preschool_Effectiveness_REPORT.pdf
    3. Lee, Valerie E., and David T. Burkam. Inequality at the starting gate: Social background differences in achievement as children begin school. Washington, D.C.: Economic Policy Institute, 2002.
    4. Gray-Lobe, Guthrie, Parag A. Pathak, Christopher R. Walters. “The Long-Term Effects of Universal Preschool in Boston” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series. (2021). https://www.nber.org/papers/w28756
    5. Pages, R., Lukes, D. J., Bailey, D. H., & Duncan, G. J. (2020). Elusive longer-run impacts of head start: Replications within and across cohorts. Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, 42(4), 471-492.
    6. Stevens, K. B., & English, E. (2016). Does pre-K work? The research on ten early childhood programs—and what it tells us. American Enterprise Institute, 1-53. Retrieved from https://www.aei.org/research-products/report/does-pre-k-work-the-research-on-ten-early-childhood-programs-and-what-it-tells-us/
    7. Lipsey, M. W., Farran, D. C., & Hofer, K. G. (2015). A Randomized Control Trial of a Statewide Voluntary Prekindergarten Program on Children’s Skills and Behaviors through Third Grade. Research Report. Nashville, TN: Vanderbilt University, Peabody Research Institute.

  • Education

    Education

    Understanding Education in Houston

    The benefits of an education extend not only to earnings, health and quality of life, but also to future generations and the collective well-being and economy of our region.

    The more education we have, the more we earn, we have greater job stability, are less likely to rely on public assistance, less likely to interact with the criminal legal system, the more likely we are to vote, our health is better, and we live longer. What’s more, future generations are generally in better positions than they would be otherwise and  are more likely to be more educated themselves. Regions that are home to educated and skilled workers thrive with good-paying jobs, more resilient economies and are wealthier.

    However, only a minority successfully walk through this door of opportunity. Children in the Houston region have disparate access to high-quality education that adequately prepares them for academic success, disproportionately harming our region’s students of color and from low-income households. And despite HB3’s injection of millions of dollars into the public school system, our state’s educational outcomes have suffered from impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, exacerbating the challenge in shepherding students successfully through the educational pipeline. 

    The more we know about where and when students need the most support during their academic careers, the better equipped we are to work toward an education system that prepares every Houston-area child to thrive and contribute to our region’s vibrant future. 

  • Population and Diversity

    Population and Diversity

    Population, Diversity and Immigration in Houston

    One of the strongest forces to shape the region, Houston’s diverse population is also its greatest asset.

    In the last decade, the population in Houston’s three-county region — due to strong levels of international and domestic migration — grew substantially and became far more diverse.

    Why population and diversity matter to Houston

    One of the Houston area’s greatest assets is its diversity. As one of the most diverse regions in the nation, Houston’s three-county area connects people with a broad range of perspectives, lived experiences, and ways of life to create a metropolis with a vibrant culture and dynamic economy. The region’s recent population boom — driven by domestic and international migration — continues the decades-long trend of attracting people seeking opportunity and success from across the globe.

    By leaning into our greatest strength — our people — we can build a more vibrant Houston region with opportunity for all.

    The data

    Nearly 6.5 million people call the Houston-area home

    Harris County covers 1,777 square miles in the region, followed by Montgomery County with 1,077 square miles coverage, and Fort Bend County with 885 square miles. Together, the three counties cover 40% of the nine-county Houston-Sugar Land-The Woodlands Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA).1

    How many Houstonians are there, and where do they live? Houston’s three-county region has a total population of nearly 6.5 million that accounts for 86% of the Houston MSA population.

    The population in Houston’s three-county region has grown 142% since 1980 from 2.7 million to 6.5 million in 2023.

    Each county has witnessed remarkable population surges over the past few decades. In Fort Bend County, the population doubled over the last two decades, reaching nearly 920,000 in 2023. Montgomery County’s population also doubled, soaring from 294,000 in 2000 to 710,000 in 2023. In Harris County, the most populous county in the region and the state, the population climbed above 4.8 million.

    This recent population growth is a part of a robust historical trend. Since 1980, Greater Houston’s population growth has consistently outpaced national and statewide trends. Fort Bend and Montgomery counties, in particular, have emerged as leaders, regularly recording growth rates that are double or even triple those observed in Harris County and Texas. The implications of this sustained population growth are profound, shaping Houston into a national power player and propelling economic growth in the region.

    In the most recent decade, 2013 to 2023, population growth rates have stayed the same in our region and continues to outpace national growth. During this decade, population increased by 41% in Fort Bend County, 12% in Harris County, and 43% in Montgomery County compared to a 15% growth across the state and 6% across the nation.

    159%

    Fort Bend County experienced the greatest population growth in the Houston region between 2000 and 2023.

    Houston’s racial/ethnic composition continues to be diverse

    Since 2000, the racial composition of Greater Houston’s population has changed significantly. The number of Hispanic and Asian-American residents has boomed, propelling the region into one of the most ethnically diverse in the country.

    In each of Houston’s three counties, the number of residents that identify as people of color (non-white) grew faster than the population of white residents. This has driven the profound demographic change that the Houston area has undergone over the last few decades.

    In 2023, Asian American (22.2%), Black (21.2%), and Hispanic (24.8%) residents comprised two-thirds of Fort Bend County’s population. White people, comprising less than one-third of the county’s total population, grew steadily, but slower compared to other racial/ethnic groups. While Fort Bend County’s Hispanic and Black population grew by over 50%, the Asian-American population doubled in size between 2010 and 2023.

    Harris County has been majority-people-of-color since 2000, and recent data show that people of color continue to propel the county’s growth. Hispanics have been the largest ethnic group since 2010, and by 2023 they comprised 44.1% of the total population. Since 2010, the county has seen the most growth in the Asian American (42.5%) population, with more modest growths in its Black (21.6%) and Hispanic (27.5%) populations. Notably, Harris County is the only county in Greater Houston where the number of white residents declined between 2010 and 2023.

    With 710,000 residents in 2023, Montgomery County’s population has doubled over the last two decades. While the county remains mostly white (57.8%) — with its Hispanic (28.3%), Black (7.0%) and Asian American (3.2%) populations making up nearly two-fifths of the county’s total population in 2023 — Montgomery County has experienced incredible growth in Asian-American (145.4%), Hispanic (112.3%) and Black (170.0%) populations between 2010 and 2023.

    The percentage of the population that identifies as Hispanic/Latino in Harris County has increased to 44.1% in 2023 from 32.9% in 2000.

    In Houston’s three-county area at large, the vast majority (80%) of children under five are people of color, indicating that Greater Houston will continue to become more racially diverse over time. Fort Bend County shows a somewhat-even distribution of races/ethnicities in this age group. A vast majority of Harris County’s youngest population are people of color (82%). In contrast, nearly half of children under five in Montgomery County are white (47%), a similar proportion to the country overall, and over a third are Hispanic.

    Houston’s three-county region population soars 142% over four decades

    Analyzing population distribution by age group provides a clearer picture of population change by revealing which age groups are driving growth and informing how resources should be allocated to address emerging needs.

    While Houston’s population boomed during the 2010s, the growth between 2013–2023 was uneven among age groups. Notably, older adults (65 and older) saw the greatest percentage increase in Fort Bend, Harris, and Montgomery counties. The growth among older adults in Fort Bend was especially pronounced, soaring 105%.

    While older adult populations had the largest growth, there were age-specific disparities within racial groups. In Fort Bend County, the number of children of color under five increased by 30%, while the number of non-Hispanic white children in the same age group decreased. In Harris County, the number of children under 5 decreased overall while children ages 5 to 17 and adults ages 18 to 64 who are non-Hispanic white decreased and those who are people of color increased. This trend is very similar to what occurred across Texas during the same time frame and matches trends in population growth by age at the national level. Montgomery County’s overall, non-Hispanic white, and people of color populations increased across all age groups with people of color increasing the most within each age group.

    The number of older adults (65+) who are people of color in Montgomery County tripled between 2013 and 2023.

    Population in Greater Houston could double to 12 million by 2050

    Analyzing population growth by age group provides insights into the region’s demographic future. Population projections are used to make decisions about how to prepare for future demand and needs for resources like food, water, energy, housing, and services. By analyzing how Houston’s population grew the last few decades, we better understand what the impacts of that growth will be.

    The following are demographic forecasts for Houston’s three major counties. By 2050,

    • Fort Bend County is projected to reach over 2 million people with a demographic breakdown of 40% Asian, 24.9% Hispanic, 22.2% white, and 12.9% Black.
    • Harris County is projected to reach almost 8 million people with demographic breakdown of 42.4% Hispanic, 20.8% white, 19.5% Asian/Other, and 17.6% Black.
    • Montgomery County is projected to reach 1.5 million people with a demographic breakdown of 41% white, 40% Hispanic, 13.3% Asian/Other, and 7.7% Black.

    Immigration in Houston drives population growth

    What is driving Houston’s population growth? Generally, the primary drivers of population growth are the result of three factors: levels of fertility, mortality, and migration. Simply put, our population would grow as long as the number of births exceeds the number of deaths — this is known as the natural population increase. Migration, on the other hand, measures the movement of people from one area to another, and net migration measures the difference between the number of people who move into and out-of an area. Migration can be domestic, referring to the migration of people within the United States, or international, which refers to the movement of people across national borders.

    From 2010 to 2023, population growth in Fort Bend and Montgomery counties was largely driven by domestic migration. In Fort Bend, natural changes in population accounted for an additional 75,000 people, while 203,000 people moved into the county from elsewhere in the United States. In Montgomery County, natural changes in population resulted in an additional 44,300 residents, while 193,100 people moved to the county from elsewhere in the United States.

    The story is different in Harris County. Overall, net migration was positive from 2010-2016 but became negative almost entirely due to the drop in domestic migration. In fact, net migration was consistently negative in Harris County between 2017 and 2021 rebounding once again in 2022 solely because of international migration as net domestic migration has been negative in Harris County since 2016. From 2010 to 2023, natural changes in population resulted in an additional 532,900 Houstonians, while 378,000 people moved into the county from outside of the United States.

    Immigrants comprise a larger share of the Houston area than the nation overall

    The Houston area owes much of its economic success and cultural vibrancy to the immigrants who have made this region their home. While categorized under one label, the “immigrant population” comprises people who were born outside the United States (foreign born), including naturalized citizens, legal permanent residents, temporary residents, and unauthorized immigrants.

    More than one in four individuals living in the Houston three-county region are immigrants. Among the three counties, Fort Bend County is home to the highest share of immigrants (31%) with Montgomery County home to the lowest (17%). For the past few decades, Houston’s immigrant community has grown at a faster rate than the U.S.-born population, and this trend is showing no sign of slowing in Fort Bend.

    The number of new Americans rebound to pre-pandemic numbers

    What are naturalized citizens? When a foreign-born resident becomes naturalized, they become a legal citizen of the United States and now have the same constitutional rights and civic responsibilities as a native-born citizen, including eligibility to vote. To become a naturalized citizen, immigrants must meet certain requirements, including completing a five-year period of lawful permanent residence, demonstrating basic proficiency in English, U.S. history, and civics, and passing a background check. Naturalized citizens tend to have higher incomes and rates of homeownership compared to non-citizens.22

    The number of residents achieving lawful permanent resident status in Texas and the Houston MSA has declined sharply after peaking in The number of residents achieving lawful permanent resident status in Texas and the nine-county Houston Metro Area has rebounded after a sharp decline in 2020. The same is true for the number of residents becoming naturalized citizens with current numbers surpassing what we have seen in the last two decades. These trends mirror national trends where in 2022 the number of U.S. residents becoming naturalized citizens was the third highest on record.

    Most unauthorized immigrants in the Houston-area have lived in the country for five or more years

    How many unauthorized immigrants are in the U.S.? About 11 million unauthorized immigrants reside in the nation, representing about 24% of the total immigrant population in the U.S. About 16% of the nation’s unauthorized immigrant population — around 1.7 million — live in Texas. 

    How many unauthorized immigrants are in Houston? The Migration Policy Institute estimated in 2021 (most recent available as of publication) that 481,000 unauthorized immigrants live in Harris County, 39,000 in Fort Bend County, and 28,000 in the area of Montgomery, Chambers, and Liberty counties. Harris County is home to the second largest unauthorized immigrant community in the nation — Los Angeles County leads the nation with 951,000 unauthorized immigrants.

    Most unauthorized immigrants in the U.S. and Texas have lived in the country for five or more years. The share of undocumented immigrants by years of residence is about evenly distributed across Houston’s three-county area. Fort Bend County has the highest proportion of undocumented immigrants who entered the country in the last five years (30%), while Montgomery County has the highest proportion of unauthorized immigrants who have lived in the U.S. for 20 or more years (25%). Harris County, meanwhile, has the highest proportion of unauthorized immigrants who have lived in the county for 10-14 years (19%).

    The distribution of the unauthorized community by age is fairly consistent across the U.S., Texas, and Houston’s three-county area. Most unauthorized residents — 55% — range from 25 to 44 years old. The smallest groups of unauthorized immigrants are under the age of 16 and over the age of 55.

    Where are most unauthorized immigrants in Houston from? People from Mexico and Central America are the majority of unauthorized immigrants in Houston’s three-county region. In Fort Bend County, 35% of unauthorized immigrants come from Asia (compared to 15% nationally), and in Montgomery County 85% of unauthorized immigrants hail from Mexico or Central America.

    More than 140 languages are spoken in the Houston area

    One of the main ways in which diversity in Houston manifests itself is in the number of languages spoken in the region. Houstonians are multi-linguistic: English, Spanish, Vietnamese, Chinese, and Hindi are all spoken at high rates.

    Other than English, the most commonly spoken language across Houston’s three-county region is Spanish. Following Spanish, the most commonly spoken languages are Vietnamese, Chinese, and other Indo-European languages, such as French, German, Gujarati, Hindi, Italian, Russian, Urdu, etc. Fort Bend County has the greatest linguistic diversity of Houston’s three counties.

    The Houston region is diverse, but is it integrated?

    While the Houston area is remarkably diverse, this diversity alone does not necessarily guarantee meaningful interaction between residents of different backgrounds. Historically, the United States’ major cities — including Houston — were highly segregated. Residents of different racial and ethnic backgrounds can not interact and connect with each other if they are forcefully separated by exclusionary zoning codes, interstate highways, and social stigma. While explicit segregation is illegal, we continue to see its impact in the make-up of our modern neighborhoods. 

    The fractionalization index uses population data to measure the likelihood that two random people in a given area will be of a different race or ethnicity. Scores range from 0 to 1, with 0 indicating that two randomly chosen people belong to the same ethnic group, and one indicating maximum diversity (a 100% chance that two randomly chosen people are of different racial/ethnic backgrounds).

    In 2023, Fort Bend County had the highest level of racial/ethnic mixture in Houston’s three major counties, scoring a 0.76 in the fractionalization index. Harris County scored a 0.7, while Montgomery County scored a 0.58, reflecting a lower probability that two randomly selected individuals in the areas will belong to different racial or ethnic groups. Neighborhoods in both Fort Bend and Harris counties exhibit more racial and ethnic plurality than the average American and Texan neighborhood (0.62 and 0.67, respectively).

    Fort Bend, Harris, and Montgomery counties scored higher on the fractionalization index in 2023 than in 2010, indicating these places grew more diverse in the last decade. Fort Bend County’s score increased from 0.74 to 0.76; Harris County’s from 0.69 to 0.70; and Montgomery County saw the greatest increase, jumping from 0.45 to 0.58 in the fractionalization index.

    Nearly 210,000 veterans live in Houston’s three-county region

    A veteran is a person who served in the active military, naval, or air service, and who was discharged or released under conditions other than dishonorable. As of 2023, there are nearly 16 million veterans in the United States. Texas is home to the largest number of veterans with 1.4 million in the state.

    Nearly 210,000 veterans live in Houston’s three-county region, with the greatest concentration of vets in Montgomery County (6.6%). About 4% of the population in Fort Bend and Harris counties are vets.

    Compared to non-veterans, veterans are about twice as likely to have a disability, and they are half as likely to live below the poverty threshold.

    Helpful Articles by Understanding Houston:

    Resources

    References:

    1. The nine-county Houston-Sugar Land-The Woodlands Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) includes Austin, Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Liberty, Montgomery, and Walker counties.
    2. Enchautegui, Maria E. and Linda Giannarelli. (2015). The Economic Impact of Naturalization on Immigrants and Cities. Urban Institute. Retrieved from https://www.urban.org/research/publication/economic-impact-naturalization-immigrants-and-cities

  • Community Context

    Community Context

    Understanding Community Context in Houston

    How demographic changes, access to transportation and public safety shape and define Houston’s three-county region

    Understanding a region as large and diverse as Houston requires taking a deeper look at the foundational factors that shape our society — the community context. Exploring and analyzing critical indicators like population growth, transportation access, and public safety provides valuable insights into our region’s health. Population growth brings economic growth, innovation, and — in Houston’s case — delicious, unique food. At the same time, growth can also stretch the capacity of social services and the limits of aging infrastructure. To thrive, people need access to safe, reliable, affordable, and convenient transportation options, and to live in safe communities that facilitate social connections, housing stability, and economic growth.

    Every community has its own set of strengths, assets, and valuable history. The deeper we understand our community context, the more equipped we are to tackle persistent and emerging challenges through solutions that allow everyone to live to their fullest potential.